Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a warming trend moderated by marine influence, with forecast highs for Los Angeles on September 23 ranging from the upper 70s near the coast to the mid-80s or low 90s inland. Weak offshore flow in the morning and a shrinking marine layer support afternoon clearing and sea-breeze development that typically caps coastal maxima, keeping readings near 78–81°F at key stations like LAX. Model spreads arise from variable wind timing and low-cloud dissipation rates, producing the near-even market split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated runs from the NWS and global ensembles tomorrow morning will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or delayed sea-breeze onset pushes the peak a degree or two higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 23?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 23?
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 17%
76-77°F 9%
NEW
$21,795 Vol.
NEW
$21,795 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
33%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 35%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 17%
76-77°F 9%
NEW
$21,795 Vol.
NEW
$21,795 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
71°F or below
$208 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$556 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$817 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,656 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$4,708 Vol.
33%
80-81°F
$3,511 Vol.
35%
82-83°F
$2,487 Vol.
17%
84-85°F
$1,582 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$2,054 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$110 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a warming trend moderated by marine influence, with forecast highs for Los Angeles on September 23 ranging from the upper 70s near the coast to the mid-80s or low 90s inland. Weak offshore flow in the morning and a shrinking marine layer support afternoon clearing and sea-breeze development that typically caps coastal maxima, keeping readings near 78–81°F at key stations like LAX. Model spreads arise from variable wind timing and low-cloud dissipation rates, producing the near-even market split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated runs from the NWS and global ensembles tomorrow morning will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or delayed sea-breeze onset pushes the peak a degree or two higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$21,795End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a warming trend moderated by marine influence, with forecast highs for Los Angeles on September 23 ranging from the upper 70s near the coast to the mid-80s or low 90s inland. Weak offshore flow in the morning and a shrinking marine layer support afternoon clearing and sea-breeze development that typically caps coastal maxima, keeping readings near 78–81°F at key stations like LAX. Model spreads arise from variable wind timing and low-cloud dissipation rates, producing the near-even market split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated runs from the NWS and global ensembles tomorrow morning will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or delayed sea-breeze onset pushes the peak a degree or two higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,795End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a warming trend moderated by marine influence, with forecast highs for Los Angeles on September 23 ranging from the upper 70s near the coast to the mid-80s or low 90s inland. Weak offshore flow in the morning and a shrinking marine layer support afternoon clearing and sea-breeze development that typically caps coastal maxima, keeping readings near 78–81°F at key stations like LAX. Model spreads arise from variable wind timing and low-cloud dissipation rates, producing the near-even market split between the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Updated runs from the NWS and global ensembles tomorrow morning will clarify whether stronger onshore flow or delayed sea-breeze onset pushes the peak a degree or two higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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