Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Jeddah on September 9 most likely between 37–38°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity levels near 45–50% support gradual daytime warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Minor model disagreements arise from subtle differences in projected wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing along the Red Sea coast, which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 37°C provide baseline context, while the proximity to resolution limits upside risk beyond 39°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority will refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 9?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 9?
38°C 36%
37°C 28%
39°C or higher 27%
36°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
9%
37°C
28%
38°C
36%
39°C or higher
27%
38°C 36%
37°C 28%
39°C or higher 27%
36°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
29°C or below
$309 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$187 Vol.
1%
34°C
$51 Vol.
2%
35°C
$56 Vol.
4%
36°C
$219 Vol.
9%
37°C
$220 Vol.
28%
38°C
$140 Vol.
36%
39°C or higher
$823 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Jeddah on September 9 most likely between 37–38°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity levels near 45–50% support gradual daytime warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Minor model disagreements arise from subtle differences in projected wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing along the Red Sea coast, which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 37°C provide baseline context, while the proximity to resolution limits upside risk beyond 39°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority will refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,791End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Jeddah on September 9 most likely between 37–38°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity levels near 45–50% support gradual daytime warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Minor model disagreements arise from subtle differences in projected wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing along the Red Sea coast, which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 37°C provide baseline context, while the proximity to resolution limits upside risk beyond 39°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority will refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,791End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Jeddah on September 9 most likely between 37–38°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Stable high-pressure conditions, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity levels near 45–50% support gradual daytime warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate peaks. Minor model disagreements arise from subtle differences in projected wind patterns and boundary-layer mixing along the Red Sea coast, which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 37°C provide baseline context, while the proximity to resolution limits upside risk beyond 39°C absent unexpected clear-sky intensification. Updated runs from agencies like the Saudi Meteorological Authority will refine these probabilities ahead of the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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