**Northeast monsoon flow is sustaining mostly clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong, supporting a forecast maximum of 32°C on September 24 according to the Hong Kong Observatory.** East winds around force 4 and low rain probability favor strong daytime heating, though morning and evening cloud periods may limit the peak. Recent model guidance shows minor spread in afternoon temperatures, with some runs indicating 30–31°C if subsidence is weaker or cloud lingers longer. Historical September maxima in the city average near 30–31°C under similar monsoon regimes, but the current setup’s subsidence and low humidity tilt probabilities toward the upper end of the 30–32°C range. Updated HKO briefings and any late model shifts ahead of the 24th will be key for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 24?
32°C 35%
31°C 33%
30°C 21%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
21%
31°C
33%
32°C
35%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
31°C 33%
30°C 21%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
25°C or below
$65 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$80 Vol.
4%
28°C
$80 Vol.
4%
29°C
$23 Vol.
4%
30°C
$289 Vol.
21%
31°C
$53 Vol.
33%
32°C
$871 Vol.
35%
33°C
$249 Vol.
13%
34°C
$16 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$226 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow is sustaining mostly clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong, supporting a forecast maximum of 32°C on September 24 according to the Hong Kong Observatory.** East winds around force 4 and low rain probability favor strong daytime heating, though morning and evening cloud periods may limit the peak. Recent model guidance shows minor spread in afternoon temperatures, with some runs indicating 30–31°C if subsidence is weaker or cloud lingers longer. Historical September maxima in the city average near 30–31°C under similar monsoon regimes, but the current setup’s subsidence and low humidity tilt probabilities toward the upper end of the 30–32°C range. Updated HKO briefings and any late model shifts ahead of the 24th will be key for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,048End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow is sustaining mostly clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong, supporting a forecast maximum of 32°C on September 24 according to the Hong Kong Observatory.** East winds around force 4 and low rain probability favor strong daytime heating, though morning and evening cloud periods may limit the peak. Recent model guidance shows minor spread in afternoon temperatures, with some runs indicating 30–31°C if subsidence is weaker or cloud lingers longer. Historical September maxima in the city average near 30–31°C under similar monsoon regimes, but the current setup’s subsidence and low humidity tilt probabilities toward the upper end of the 30–32°C range. Updated HKO briefings and any late model shifts ahead of the 24th will be key for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,048End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast monsoon flow is sustaining mostly clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong, supporting a forecast maximum of 32°C on September 24 according to the Hong Kong Observatory.** East winds around force 4 and low rain probability favor strong daytime heating, though morning and evening cloud periods may limit the peak. Recent model guidance shows minor spread in afternoon temperatures, with some runs indicating 30–31°C if subsidence is weaker or cloud lingers longer. Historical September maxima in the city average near 30–31°C under similar monsoon regimes, but the current setup’s subsidence and low humidity tilt probabilities toward the upper end of the 30–32°C range. Updated HKO briefings and any late model shifts ahead of the 24th will be key for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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