Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 35–37°C for Chongqing on August 26, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that may moderate peak heating in this subtropical basin city. Historical August climatology, with frequent highs of 35–40°C driven by monsoon moisture, urban heat retention, and topographic trapping, supports the market's clustering around 37–39°C outcomes. Minor upward bias toward 38°C in trader prices reflects model spread and recent days' actual readings near 37°C, while any increase in cloud cover or rainfall could cap temperatures at 36–37°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
38°C 41%
39°C 30%
37°C 20%
36°C 6%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
6%
37°C
20%
38°C
41%
39°C
30%
40°C
5%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 41%
39°C 30%
37°C 20%
36°C 6%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
6%
37°C
20%
38°C
41%
39°C
30%
40°C
5%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 35–37°C for Chongqing on August 26, 2026, amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and scattered showers that may moderate peak heating in this subtropical basin city. Historical August climatology, with frequent highs of 35–40°C driven by monsoon moisture, urban heat retention, and topographic trapping, supports the market's clustering around 37–39°C outcomes. Minor upward bias toward 38°C in trader prices reflects model spread and recent days' actual readings near 37°C, while any increase in cloud cover or rainfall could cap temperatures at 36–37°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution remain key variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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