Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 32–34°C on August 26, 2026, with thundershowers possible and real-feel values exceeding 40°C due to humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 35–37°C because short-range models diverge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and precipitation, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees. Key variables include incoming solar radiation under breaks of sun, boundary-layer moisture from the Sichuan Basin, and urban heat retention. If clearer skies prevail before afternoon storms, readings could reach the upper 30s; heavier or earlier rain would cap them closer to 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 26?
36°C 27%
37°C or higher 27%
35°C 21%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
14%
35°C
21%
36°C
27%
37°C or higher
27%
36°C 27%
37°C or higher 27%
35°C 21%
34°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
27°C or below
$264 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$190 Vol.
2%
30°C
$383 Vol.
1%
31°C
$489 Vol.
2%
32°C
$852 Vol.
3%
33°C
$596 Vol.
8%
34°C
$839 Vol.
14%
35°C
$1,152 Vol.
21%
36°C
$648 Vol.
27%
37°C or higher
$1,481 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 32–34°C on August 26, 2026, with thundershowers possible and real-feel values exceeding 40°C due to humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 35–37°C because short-range models diverge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and precipitation, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees. Key variables include incoming solar radiation under breaks of sun, boundary-layer moisture from the Sichuan Basin, and urban heat retention. If clearer skies prevail before afternoon storms, readings could reach the upper 30s; heavier or earlier rain would cap them closer to 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,167End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 32–34°C on August 26, 2026, with thundershowers possible and real-feel values exceeding 40°C due to humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 35–37°C because short-range models diverge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and precipitation, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees. Key variables include incoming solar radiation under breaks of sun, boundary-layer moisture from the Sichuan Basin, and urban heat retention. If clearer skies prevail before afternoon storms, readings could reach the upper 30s; heavier or earlier rain would cap them closer to 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,167End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate a high near 32–34°C on August 26, 2026, with thundershowers possible and real-feel values exceeding 40°C due to humidity. Trader consensus clusters around 35–37°C because short-range models diverge on the timing and extent of cloud cover and precipitation, which can suppress maximum temperatures by several degrees. Key variables include incoming solar radiation under breaks of sun, boundary-layer moisture from the Sichuan Basin, and urban heat retention. If clearer skies prevail before afternoon storms, readings could reach the upper 30s; heavier or earlier rain would cap them closer to 34°C. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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