Official meteorological observations and hourly station data from Buenos Aires confirm a daily maximum of 14°C on September 22, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light southwesterly winds, and seasonal spring temperatures well below the long-term September average high near 18–20°C. Multiple forecast models and real-time reports converged on this peak during afternoon hours, with no warmer air advection or solar heating anomalies to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 14°C reflects this verified outcome and the market’s resolution criteria tied to official temperature records. Only an unprecedented post-hoc data revision or measurement discrepancy at primary stations could alter the result, though such changes remain historically rare for Argentine meteorological services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 22?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$25,305 Vol.
$25,305 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$25,305 Vol.
$25,305 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 20, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations and hourly station data from Buenos Aires confirm a daily maximum of 14°C on September 22, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, light southwesterly winds, and seasonal spring temperatures well below the long-term September average high near 18–20°C. Multiple forecast models and real-time reports converged on this peak during afternoon hours, with no warmer air advection or solar heating anomalies to push readings higher. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 14°C reflects this verified outcome and the market’s resolution criteria tied to official temperature records. Only an unprecedented post-hoc data revision or measurement discrepancy at primary stations could alter the result, though such changes remain historically rare for Argentine meteorological services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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