xAI's Grok Web service has experienced multiple short outages in 2026, typically lasting 40 minutes to a few hours and often linked to model rollouts or sudden usage spikes that overwhelm inference capacity. The most recent confirmed incident occurred in May, while a longer April disruption coincided with the Grok 4.3 release and prompted user migration to alternatives. With Grok 4.6 launching on August 12 and additional feature updates such as Imagine Image 2.0 and Grok Bot rolling out in early August, traders are weighing the company's rapid iteration against ongoing infrastructure scaling. Official status pages currently report full availability and zero incidents in the past 30 days, yet historical patterns show elevated outage risk during major capability expansions. Key upcoming catalysts include any further model or agent releases that could test load-handling improvements implemented after earlier events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
22%
October 31
42%
December 31
88%
$3,834 Vol.
August 31
$3,032 Vol.
22%
October 31
$417 Vol.
42%
December 31
$385 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".xAI's Grok Web service has experienced multiple short outages in 2026, typically lasting 40 minutes to a few hours and often linked to model rollouts or sudden usage spikes that overwhelm inference capacity. The most recent confirmed incident occurred in May, while a longer April disruption coincided with the Grok 4.3 release and prompted user migration to alternatives. With Grok 4.6 launching on August 12 and additional feature updates such as Imagine Image 2.0 and Grok Bot rolling out in early August, traders are weighing the company's rapid iteration against ongoing infrastructure scaling. Official status pages currently report full availability and zero incidents in the past 30 days, yet historical patterns show elevated outage risk during major capability expansions. Key upcoming catalysts include any further model or agent releases that could test load-handling improvements implemented after earlier events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volume
$3,834End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolution Source
https://status.x.ai/grok-comResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".xAI's Grok Web service has experienced multiple short outages in 2026, typically lasting 40 minutes to a few hours and often linked to model rollouts or sudden usage spikes that overwhelm inference capacity. The most recent confirmed incident occurred in May, while a longer April disruption coincided with the Grok 4.3 release and prompted user migration to alternatives. With Grok 4.6 launching on August 12 and additional feature updates such as Imagine Image 2.0 and Grok Bot rolling out in early August, traders are weighing the company's rapid iteration against ongoing infrastructure scaling. Official status pages currently report full availability and zero incidents in the past 30 days, yet historical patterns show elevated outage risk during major capability expansions. Key upcoming catalysts include any further model or agent releases that could test load-handling improvements implemented after earlier events.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$3,834End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolution Source
https://status.x.ai/grok-comResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok Web service has experienced multiple short outages in 2026, typically lasting 40 minutes to a few hours and often linked to model rollouts or sudden usage spikes that overwhelm inference capacity. The most recent confirmed incident occurred in May, while a longer April disruption coincided with the Grok 4.3 release and prompted user migration to alternatives. With Grok 4.6 launching on August 12 and additional feature updates such as Imagine Image 2.0 and Grok Bot rolling out in early August, traders are weighing the company's rapid iteration against ongoing infrastructure scaling. Official status pages currently report full availability and zero incidents in the past 30 days, yet historical patterns show elevated outage risk during major capability expansions. Key upcoming catalysts include any further model or agent releases that could test load-handling improvements implemented after earlier events.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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