Increased supply of NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs has driven H200 rental prices lower through mid-2026, with on-demand rates from specialist providers settling near $3.99–$4.50 per GPU-hour and marketplace medians around $3.80–$4.10 after a sharp 30–40% drop in May. Traders see this as evidence that Blackwell ramp-up is displacing Hopper demand for large-model inference and training, though hyperscaler on-demand remains higher at $5–$10 and spot markets show ongoing volatility tied to capacity blocks and export controls. Key swing factors include further Blackwell availability, sustained AI workload growth, and any new NVIDIA announcements on next-generation platforms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$11,135 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $7.00
41%
↑ $6.00
69%
↓ $4.00
85%
↓ $3.75
60%
↓ $3.50
69%
↓ $3.00
34%
↓ $2.50
10%
$11,135 Vol.
↑ $7.00
$169 Vol.
41%
↑ $6.00
$154 Vol.
69%
↓ $4.00
$615 Vol.
85%
↓ $3.75
$3,797 Vol.
60%
↓ $3.50
$731 Vol.
69%
↓ $3.00
$2,320 Vol.
34%
↓ $2.50
$146 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply of NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs has driven H200 rental prices lower through mid-2026, with on-demand rates from specialist providers settling near $3.99–$4.50 per GPU-hour and marketplace medians around $3.80–$4.10 after a sharp 30–40% drop in May. Traders see this as evidence that Blackwell ramp-up is displacing Hopper demand for large-model inference and training, though hyperscaler on-demand remains higher at $5–$10 and spot markets show ongoing volatility tied to capacity blocks and export controls. Key swing factors include further Blackwell availability, sustained AI workload growth, and any new NVIDIA announcements on next-generation platforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ET
Volume
$11,135End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply of NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs has driven H200 rental prices lower through mid-2026, with on-demand rates from specialist providers settling near $3.99–$4.50 per GPU-hour and marketplace medians around $3.80–$4.10 after a sharp 30–40% drop in May. Traders see this as evidence that Blackwell ramp-up is displacing Hopper demand for large-model inference and training, though hyperscaler on-demand remains higher at $5–$10 and spot markets show ongoing volatility tied to capacity blocks and export controls. Key swing factors include further Blackwell availability, sustained AI workload growth, and any new NVIDIA announcements on next-generation platforms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized. If not all relevant data has been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$11,135End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 6:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Increased supply of NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs has driven H200 rental prices lower through mid-2026, with on-demand rates from specialist providers settling near $3.99–$4.50 per GPU-hour and marketplace medians around $3.80–$4.10 after a sharp 30–40% drop in May. Traders see this as evidence that Blackwell ramp-up is displacing Hopper demand for large-model inference and training, though hyperscaler on-demand remains higher at $5–$10 and spot markets show ongoing volatility tied to capacity blocks and export controls. Key swing factors include further Blackwell availability, sustained AI workload growth, and any new NVIDIA announcements on next-generation platforms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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