Sustained demand for AI training and inference workloads continues to anchor H100 rental rates near current levels, with neocloud spot and on-demand pricing clustered around $2.20–$3.00 per GPU-hour as of mid-August 2026. Blackwell B200 ramp-up has introduced displacement pressure on older Hopper hardware and eased some supply tightness, yet limited new capacity through September—much of it already contracted—combined with hyperscaler premiums and competitive neocloud dynamics supports trader consensus around the $2.50–$3.00 band. Seasonal budget cycles, open-weight model adoption, and inference scaling provide counterbalancing upward momentum that offsets potential softening from broader availability. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of persistent compute needs against gradual generational shifts, with resolution hinging on any late-summer capacity releases or demand spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.75-$3.00 31%
$2.50-$2.75 29%
$2.25-$2.50 26%
<$2.25 5%
$16,273 Vol.
$16,273 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$2.25
5%
$2.25-$2.50
26%
$2.50-$2.75
29%
$2.75-$3.00
31%
$3.00-$3.25
6%
$3.25+
7%
$2.75-$3.00 31%
$2.50-$2.75 29%
$2.25-$2.50 26%
<$2.25 5%
$16,273 Vol.
$16,273 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$2.25
$976 Vol.
5%
$2.25-$2.50
$2,178 Vol.
26%
$2.50-$2.75
$7,539 Vol.
29%
$2.75-$3.00
$4,415 Vol.
31%
$3.00-$3.25
$591 Vol.
6%
$3.25+
$574 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Sustained demand for AI training and inference workloads continues to anchor H100 rental rates near current levels, with neocloud spot and on-demand pricing clustered around $2.20–$3.00 per GPU-hour as of mid-August 2026. Blackwell B200 ramp-up has introduced displacement pressure on older Hopper hardware and eased some supply tightness, yet limited new capacity through September—much of it already contracted—combined with hyperscaler premiums and competitive neocloud dynamics supports trader consensus around the $2.50–$3.00 band. Seasonal budget cycles, open-weight model adoption, and inference scaling provide counterbalancing upward momentum that offsets potential softening from broader availability. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of persistent compute needs against gradual generational shifts, with resolution hinging on any late-summer capacity releases or demand spikes.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
Volume
$16,273End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Sustained demand for AI training and inference workloads continues to anchor H100 rental rates near current levels, with neocloud spot and on-demand pricing clustered around $2.20–$3.00 per GPU-hour as of mid-August 2026. Blackwell B200 ramp-up has introduced displacement pressure on older Hopper hardware and eased some supply tightness, yet limited new capacity through September—much of it already contracted—combined with hyperscaler premiums and competitive neocloud dynamics supports trader consensus around the $2.50–$3.00 band. Seasonal budget cycles, open-weight model adoption, and inference scaling provide counterbalancing upward momentum that offsets potential softening from broader availability. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of persistent compute needs against gradual generational shifts, with resolution hinging on any late-summer capacity releases or demand spikes.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$16,273End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sustained demand for AI training and inference workloads continues to anchor H100 rental rates near current levels, with neocloud spot and on-demand pricing clustered around $2.20–$3.00 per GPU-hour as of mid-August 2026. Blackwell B200 ramp-up has introduced displacement pressure on older Hopper hardware and eased some supply tightness, yet limited new capacity through September—much of it already contracted—combined with hyperscaler premiums and competitive neocloud dynamics supports trader consensus around the $2.50–$3.00 band. Seasonal budget cycles, open-weight model adoption, and inference scaling provide counterbalancing upward momentum that offsets potential softening from broader availability. Market-implied odds reflect this balance of persistent compute needs against gradual generational shifts, with resolution hinging on any late-summer capacity releases or demand spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions