Increased supply from hyperscaler expansions and over 300 neocloud providers has eased the acute H100 shortages of 2023-2025, pressuring rental rates toward the $2.50-$3.00 range that dominates current trader positioning. Persistent AI training and fine-tuning demand, concentrated among large model developers, supports the narrow edge for the higher $2.75-$3.00 bucket, while the rollout of Blackwell B200 and H200 GPUs is shifting premium workloads and creating substitution pressure that caps upside. Spot and short-term contract markets show ongoing volatility, with recent spring 2026 corrections of 30-40% underscoring how quickly added capacity can normalize pricing ahead of October resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.75-$3.00 31%
$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.25-$2.50 19%
$3.00+ 8%
<$2.00
5%
$2.00-$2.25
2%
$2.25-$2.50
19%
$2.50-$2.75
31%
$2.75-$3.00
31%
$3.00+
8%
$2.75-$3.00 31%
$2.50-$2.75 31%
$2.25-$2.50 19%
$3.00+ 8%
<$2.00
5%
$2.00-$2.25
2%
$2.25-$2.50
19%
$2.50-$2.75
31%
$2.75-$3.00
31%
$3.00+
8%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Increased supply from hyperscaler expansions and over 300 neocloud providers has eased the acute H100 shortages of 2023-2025, pressuring rental rates toward the $2.50-$3.00 range that dominates current trader positioning. Persistent AI training and fine-tuning demand, concentrated among large model developers, supports the narrow edge for the higher $2.75-$3.00 bucket, while the rollout of Blackwell B200 and H200 GPUs is shifting premium workloads and creating substitution pressure that caps upside. Spot and short-term contract markets show ongoing volatility, with recent spring 2026 corrections of 30-40% underscoring how quickly added capacity can normalize pricing ahead of October resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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