Increased supply of newer Blackwell GPUs like the B200 has commoditized A100 rentals, shifting demand toward value-oriented workloads such as inference and smaller-scale training while pushing prices into the $1.00–$1.25 per hour range that traders favor at 47.5% implied probability. Current spot and competitive marketplace rates for A100 80GB instances cluster around $1.09–$2.00 per hour across providers, with further stabilization expected as hyperscaler capacity blocks and expiring multi-year contracts add liquidity through late 2026. Strong ongoing AI demand supports a floor near $0.75–$1.00, yet competitive pressure from H100/B200 upgrades limits upside above $1.50. Traders appear to weigh these supply dynamics against potential seasonal demand spikes ahead of the October resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.00-$1.25 48%
$1.25-$1.50 22%
$0.75-$1.00 20%
$0.50-$0.75 8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$0.50
2%
$0.50-$0.75
8%
$0.75-$1.00
20%
$1.00-$1.25
48%
$1.25-$1.50
22%
$1.50+
10%
$1.00-$1.25 48%
$1.25-$1.50 22%
$0.75-$1.00 20%
$0.50-$0.75 8%
NEW
NEW
Oct 31, 2026
<$0.50
$113 Vol.
2%
$0.50-$0.75
$189 Vol.
8%
$0.75-$1.00
$3,465 Vol.
20%
$1.00-$1.25
$2,499 Vol.
48%
$1.25-$1.50
$308 Vol.
22%
$1.50+
$94 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply of newer Blackwell GPUs like the B200 has commoditized A100 rentals, shifting demand toward value-oriented workloads such as inference and smaller-scale training while pushing prices into the $1.00–$1.25 per hour range that traders favor at 47.5% implied probability. Current spot and competitive marketplace rates for A100 80GB instances cluster around $1.09–$2.00 per hour across providers, with further stabilization expected as hyperscaler capacity blocks and expiring multi-year contracts add liquidity through late 2026. Strong ongoing AI demand supports a floor near $0.75–$1.00, yet competitive pressure from H100/B200 upgrades limits upside above $1.50. Traders appear to weigh these supply dynamics against potential seasonal demand spikes ahead of the October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
Volume
$6,668End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply of newer Blackwell GPUs like the B200 has commoditized A100 rentals, shifting demand toward value-oriented workloads such as inference and smaller-scale training while pushing prices into the $1.00–$1.25 per hour range that traders favor at 47.5% implied probability. Current spot and competitive marketplace rates for A100 80GB instances cluster around $1.09–$2.00 per hour across providers, with further stabilization expected as hyperscaler capacity blocks and expiring multi-year contracts add liquidity through late 2026. Strong ongoing AI demand supports a floor near $0.75–$1.00, yet competitive pressure from H100/B200 upgrades limits upside above $1.50. Traders appear to weigh these supply dynamics against potential seasonal demand spikes ahead of the October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn A100 Index price for October 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$6,668End Date
Oct 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Increased supply of newer Blackwell GPUs like the B200 has commoditized A100 rentals, shifting demand toward value-oriented workloads such as inference and smaller-scale training while pushing prices into the $1.00–$1.25 per hour range that traders favor at 47.5% implied probability. Current spot and competitive marketplace rates for A100 80GB instances cluster around $1.09–$2.00 per hour across providers, with further stabilization expected as hyperscaler capacity blocks and expiring multi-year contracts add liquidity through late 2026. Strong ongoing AI demand supports a floor near $0.75–$1.00, yet competitive pressure from H100/B200 upgrades limits upside above $1.50. Traders appear to weigh these supply dynamics against potential seasonal demand spikes ahead of the October resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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