Current A100 GPU rental rates cluster tightly around $1.09–$1.65 per hour across neocloud and marketplace platforms as of mid-August 2026, anchoring the 87.5% implied probability for the $1.00–$1.25 band by month-end. Abundant supply from ramped H100 and Blackwell B200 deployments has shifted demand toward newer hardware, while competitive pressure on platforms like Vast.ai and Thunder Compute holds older Ampere cards in a stable value tier suited for cost-sensitive inference, fine-tuning, and smaller training workloads. No major demand surges or supply shocks have materialized in recent weeks, and short-term historical patterns show limited volatility absent energy or regulatory events. Traders view the near-term outlook as range-bound given these steady fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.00-$1.25 88%
$0.75-$1.00 8.8%
$1.25-$1.50 5.6%
<$0.50 <1%
$19,668 Vol.
$19,668 Vol.
<$0.50
1%
$0.50-$0.75
1%
$0.75-$1.00
9%
$1.00-$1.25
88%
$1.25-$1.50
7%
$1.50+
1%
$1.00-$1.25 88%
$0.75-$1.00 8.8%
$1.25-$1.50 5.6%
<$0.50 <1%
$19,668 Vol.
$19,668 Vol.
<$0.50
1%
$0.50-$0.75
1%
$0.75-$1.00
9%
$1.00-$1.25
88%
$1.25-$1.50
7%
$1.50+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:37 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the A100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current A100 GPU rental rates cluster tightly around $1.09–$1.65 per hour across neocloud and marketplace platforms as of mid-August 2026, anchoring the 87.5% implied probability for the $1.00–$1.25 band by month-end. Abundant supply from ramped H100 and Blackwell B200 deployments has shifted demand toward newer hardware, while competitive pressure on platforms like Vast.ai and Thunder Compute holds older Ampere cards in a stable value tier suited for cost-sensitive inference, fine-tuning, and smaller training workloads. No major demand surges or supply shocks have materialized in recent weeks, and short-term historical patterns show limited volatility absent energy or regulatory events. Traders view the near-term outlook as range-bound given these steady fundamentals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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