Ongoing high demand for H200 GPUs from AI training and inference workloads, combined with constrained supply as NVIDIA ramps Blackwell production, underpins the broad distribution of rental price outcomes on platforms like Vast.ai and RunPod. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around spot market dynamics through late August, including potential demand spikes from upcoming model releases, hyperscaler purchasing patterns, and any shifts in energy costs or data center capacity. Lower-price buckets gain traction if new hardware inflows accelerate or usage cools post-summer, while upside scenarios hinge on sustained AI buildouts outpacing availability. The market's even spread highlights how quickly short-term supply signals can shift implied probabilities in this volatile segment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.50-$5.00 31%
$5.00-$5.50 24%
<$4.00 17.0%
$4.00-$4.50 14%
$18,091 Vol.
$18,091 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$4.00
17%
$4.00-$4.50
14%
$4.50-$5.00
31%
$5.00-$5.50
19%
$5.50-$6.00
14%
$6.00+
10%
$4.50-$5.00 31%
$5.00-$5.50 24%
<$4.00 17.0%
$4.00-$4.50 14%
$18,091 Vol.
$18,091 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<$4.00
$1,873 Vol.
17%
$4.00-$4.50
$4,227 Vol.
14%
$4.50-$5.00
$3,768 Vol.
31%
$5.00-$5.50
$2,523 Vol.
19%
$5.50-$6.00
$2,889 Vol.
14%
$6.00+
$2,811 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Ongoing high demand for H200 GPUs from AI training and inference workloads, combined with constrained supply as NVIDIA ramps Blackwell production, underpins the broad distribution of rental price outcomes on platforms like Vast.ai and RunPod. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around spot market dynamics through late August, including potential demand spikes from upcoming model releases, hyperscaler purchasing patterns, and any shifts in energy costs or data center capacity. Lower-price buckets gain traction if new hardware inflows accelerate or usage cools post-summer, while upside scenarios hinge on sustained AI buildouts outpacing availability. The market's even spread highlights how quickly short-term supply signals can shift implied probabilities in this volatile segment.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Volume
$18,091End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Ongoing high demand for H200 GPUs from AI training and inference workloads, combined with constrained supply as NVIDIA ramps Blackwell production, underpins the broad distribution of rental price outcomes on platforms like Vast.ai and RunPod. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around spot market dynamics through late August, including potential demand spikes from upcoming model releases, hyperscaler purchasing patterns, and any shifts in energy costs or data center capacity. Lower-price buckets gain traction if new hardware inflows accelerate or usage cools post-summer, while upside scenarios hinge on sustained AI buildouts outpacing availability. The market's even spread highlights how quickly short-term supply signals can shift implied probabilities in this volatile segment.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$18,091End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing high demand for H200 GPUs from AI training and inference workloads, combined with constrained supply as NVIDIA ramps Blackwell production, underpins the broad distribution of rental price outcomes on platforms like Vast.ai and RunPod. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around spot market dynamics through late August, including potential demand spikes from upcoming model releases, hyperscaler purchasing patterns, and any shifts in energy costs or data center capacity. Lower-price buckets gain traction if new hardware inflows accelerate or usage cools post-summer, while upside scenarios hinge on sustained AI buildouts outpacing availability. The market's even spread highlights how quickly short-term supply signals can shift implied probabilities in this volatile segment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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