**Market-implied odds for H100 rental prices at end-2026 cluster around $2–3 per hour, reflecting a balance between expanding supply of newer Blackwell GPUs and sustained AI inference demand.** H100 rates rebounded from 2025 lows near $1.70/hour to roughly $2.35–$2.74 on neocloud and marketplace providers by mid-2026, driven by inference workloads and HBM constraints, while hyperscaler list prices remain far higher. Blackwell B200 adoption is shifting premium training demand to higher-performance options priced at $5+/hour, positioning H100 as a cost-effective mid-tier alternative and limiting further steep declines. Key near-term catalysts include additional Blackwell capacity ramps, hyperscaler capex updates, and any signs of softening enterprise AI spend that could push rates toward the $1.50–2.00 band or keep them anchored near current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.50-$3.00 28.3%
$1.50-$2.00 20.7%
$2.00-$2.50 20.5%
$3.00-$3.50 13.0%
$37,625 Vol.
$37,625 Vol.
<$1.50
5%
$1.50-$2.00
21%
$2.00-$2.50
20%
$2.50-$3.00
28%
$3.00-$3.50
13%
$3.50-$4.00
10%
$4.00+
3%
$2.50-$3.00 28.3%
$1.50-$2.00 20.7%
$2.00-$2.50 20.5%
$3.00-$3.50 13.0%
$37,625 Vol.
$37,625 Vol.
<$1.50
5%
$1.50-$2.00
21%
$2.00-$2.50
20%
$2.50-$3.00
28%
$3.00-$3.50
13%
$3.50-$4.00
10%
$4.00+
3%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds for H100 rental prices at end-2026 cluster around $2–3 per hour, reflecting a balance between expanding supply of newer Blackwell GPUs and sustained AI inference demand.** H100 rates rebounded from 2025 lows near $1.70/hour to roughly $2.35–$2.74 on neocloud and marketplace providers by mid-2026, driven by inference workloads and HBM constraints, while hyperscaler list prices remain far higher. Blackwell B200 adoption is shifting premium training demand to higher-performance options priced at $5+/hour, positioning H100 as a cost-effective mid-tier alternative and limiting further steep declines. Key near-term catalysts include additional Blackwell capacity ramps, hyperscaler capex updates, and any signs of softening enterprise AI spend that could push rates toward the $1.50–2.00 band or keep them anchored near current levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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