**Persistent supply constraints and sustained AI-driven demand are anchoring RTX 5090 cloud rental rates near the $0.45–$0.55 per hour range by end of September 2026.** The RTX 5090 launched in January 2025 at a $1,999 MSRP but has faced chronic shortages from GDDR7 memory constraints and NVIDIA’s production priorities, with retail and secondary-market prices still exceeding $4,000 in mid-2026. These hardware shortages limit the number of rentable units entering the market, supporting elevated hourly rates across providers like RunPod, Vast.ai, and Lambda. At the same time, cloud rental medians have eased about 34% from August 2025 levels as additional capacity gradually comes online, preventing rates from climbing further into the $0.60+ band. Trader consensus reflected in the 46% probability for $0.45–$0.50 and 34% for $0.50–$0.55 captures expectations of stable pricing through the next six weeks. Key swing factors include any incremental memory supply improvements or seasonal demand shifts from AI workloads, though no major new catalysts are scheduled before late September. Lower-probability outcomes below $0.40 or above $0.60 would require either a sudden surge in available cards or a sharp spike in AI inference demand that outpaces current supply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$0.45-$0.50 47%
$0.50-$0.55 34%
$0.60+ 13%
$0.55-$0.60 4.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<$0.40
4%
$0.40-$0.45
4%
$0.45-$0.50
47%
$0.50-$0.55
34%
$0.55-$0.60
5%
$0.60+
13%
$0.45-$0.50 47%
$0.50-$0.55 34%
$0.60+ 13%
$0.55-$0.60 4.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<$0.40
$445 Vol.
4%
$0.40-$0.45
$298 Vol.
4%
$0.45-$0.50
$5,546 Vol.
47%
$0.50-$0.55
$580 Vol.
34%
$0.55-$0.60
$274 Vol.
5%
$0.60+
$337 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Persistent supply constraints and sustained AI-driven demand are anchoring RTX 5090 cloud rental rates near the $0.45–$0.55 per hour range by end of September 2026.**
The RTX 5090 launched in January 2025 at a $1,999 MSRP but has faced chronic shortages from GDDR7 memory constraints and NVIDIA’s production priorities, with retail and secondary-market prices still exceeding $4,000 in mid-2026. These hardware shortages limit the number of rentable units entering the market, supporting elevated hourly rates across providers like RunPod, Vast.ai, and Lambda. At the same time, cloud rental medians have eased about 34% from August 2025 levels as additional capacity gradually comes online, preventing rates from climbing further into the $0.60+ band.
Trader consensus reflected in the 46% probability for $0.45–$0.50 and 34% for $0.50–$0.55 captures expectations of stable pricing through the next six weeks. Key swing factors include any incremental memory supply improvements or seasonal demand shifts from AI workloads, though no major new catalysts are scheduled before late September. Lower-probability outcomes below $0.40 or above $0.60 would require either a sudden surge in available cards or a sharp spike in AI inference demand that outpaces current supply.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:39 AM ET
Volume
$7,480End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Persistent supply constraints and sustained AI-driven demand are anchoring RTX 5090 cloud rental rates near the $0.45–$0.55 per hour range by end of September 2026.**
The RTX 5090 launched in January 2025 at a $1,999 MSRP but has faced chronic shortages from GDDR7 memory constraints and NVIDIA’s production priorities, with retail and secondary-market prices still exceeding $4,000 in mid-2026. These hardware shortages limit the number of rentable units entering the market, supporting elevated hourly rates across providers like RunPod, Vast.ai, and Lambda. At the same time, cloud rental medians have eased about 34% from August 2025 levels as additional capacity gradually comes online, preventing rates from climbing further into the $0.60+ band.
Trader consensus reflected in the 46% probability for $0.45–$0.50 and 34% for $0.50–$0.55 captures expectations of stable pricing through the next six weeks. Key swing factors include any incremental memory supply improvements or seasonal demand shifts from AI workloads, though no major new catalysts are scheduled before late September. Lower-probability outcomes below $0.40 or above $0.60 would require either a sudden surge in available cards or a sharp spike in AI inference demand that outpaces current supply.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn RTX 5090 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the RTX 5090 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$7,480End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:39 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent supply constraints and sustained AI-driven demand are anchoring RTX 5090 cloud rental rates near the $0.45–$0.55 per hour range by end of September 2026.** The RTX 5090 launched in January 2025 at a $1,999 MSRP but has faced chronic shortages from GDDR7 memory constraints and NVIDIA’s production priorities, with retail and secondary-market prices still exceeding $4,000 in mid-2026. These hardware shortages limit the number of rentable units entering the market, supporting elevated hourly rates across providers like RunPod, Vast.ai, and Lambda. At the same time, cloud rental medians have eased about 34% from August 2025 levels as additional capacity gradually comes online, preventing rates from climbing further into the $0.60+ band. Trader consensus reflected in the 46% probability for $0.45–$0.50 and 34% for $0.50–$0.55 captures expectations of stable pricing through the next six weeks. Key swing factors include any incremental memory supply improvements or seasonal demand shifts from AI workloads, though no major new catalysts are scheduled before late September. Lower-probability outcomes below $0.40 or above $0.60 would require either a sudden surge in available cards or a sharp spike in AI inference demand that outpaces current supply.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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