Trader sentiment on H200 GPU rental prices at end-September reflects tight competition between expanding Blackwell supply and persistent HBM3e/CoWoS bottlenecks that limit Hopper availability. Current marketplace rates cluster near $3.60–$4.50 per hour on platforms such as Vast.ai and Jarvislabs, yet volatility from spot capacity swings and strong Chinese demand for memory-intensive inference keeps the distribution wide. Blackwell ramp-up is already displacing some H200 workloads, exerting downward pressure, while constrained packaging capacity through late 2026 supports firmer pricing. Key swing factors include any acceleration in B200 deployments or fresh hyperscaler capacity releases that could tip the balance toward the $4.50–$5.00 or $5.50–$6.00 bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.50-$5.00 25%
$5.50-$6.00 25%
$5.00-$5.50 20%
$4.00-$4.50 19%
$19,928 Vol.
$19,928 Vol.
<$4.00
15%
$4.00-$4.50
19%
$4.50-$5.00
25%
$5.00-$5.50
20%
$5.50-$6.00
25%
$6.00+
7%
$4.50-$5.00 25%
$5.50-$6.00 25%
$5.00-$5.50 20%
$4.00-$4.50 19%
$19,928 Vol.
$19,928 Vol.
<$4.00
15%
$4.00-$4.50
19%
$4.50-$5.00
25%
$5.00-$5.50
20%
$5.50-$6.00
25%
$6.00+
7%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on H200 GPU rental prices at end-September reflects tight competition between expanding Blackwell supply and persistent HBM3e/CoWoS bottlenecks that limit Hopper availability. Current marketplace rates cluster near $3.60–$4.50 per hour on platforms such as Vast.ai and Jarvislabs, yet volatility from spot capacity swings and strong Chinese demand for memory-intensive inference keeps the distribution wide. Blackwell ramp-up is already displacing some H200 workloads, exerting downward pressure, while constrained packaging capacity through late 2026 supports firmer pricing. Key swing factors include any acceleration in B200 deployments or fresh hyperscaler capacity releases that could tip the balance toward the $4.50–$5.00 or $5.50–$6.00 bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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