Recent moderate posting patterns on X position the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the clear market leaders for Elon Musk's September 3-5 activity, with combined implied probability exceeding 75%. Short-term settlements show consistent daily volumes in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties, including a 40-64 outcome for the period ending September 2, reflecting a steady but unspectacular cadence of original posts, replies, and reposts without major company announcements or political cycles to accelerate engagement. Historical data confirms Musk's output fluctuates with external events, yet early September lacks immediate catalysts such as product launches or high-stakes developments that previously drove weekly totals above 150. Traders are pricing in continuity of this baseline rhythm rather than outlier spikes, though any unforeseen viral moment could still shift volume within the three-day window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 49%
65-89 28%
<40 16%
90-114 7%
$66,228 Vol.
$66,228 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
<40
16%
40-64
49%
65-89
28%
90-114
7%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
65-89 28%
<40 16%
90-114 7%
$66,228 Vol.
$66,228 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
<40
$9,112 Vol.
16%
40-64
$15,326 Vol.
49%
65-89
$8,918 Vol.
28%
90-114
$10,038 Vol.
7%
115-139
$9,722 Vol.
1%
140-164
$4,111 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$4,047 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,450 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$735 Vol.
<1%
240+
$769 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent moderate posting patterns on X position the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the clear market leaders for Elon Musk's September 3-5 activity, with combined implied probability exceeding 75%. Short-term settlements show consistent daily volumes in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties, including a 40-64 outcome for the period ending September 2, reflecting a steady but unspectacular cadence of original posts, replies, and reposts without major company announcements or political cycles to accelerate engagement. Historical data confirms Musk's output fluctuates with external events, yet early September lacks immediate catalysts such as product launches or high-stakes developments that previously drove weekly totals above 150. Traders are pricing in continuity of this baseline rhythm rather than outlier spikes, though any unforeseen viral moment could still shift volume within the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$66,228End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent moderate posting patterns on X position the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the clear market leaders for Elon Musk's September 3-5 activity, with combined implied probability exceeding 75%. Short-term settlements show consistent daily volumes in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties, including a 40-64 outcome for the period ending September 2, reflecting a steady but unspectacular cadence of original posts, replies, and reposts without major company announcements or political cycles to accelerate engagement. Historical data confirms Musk's output fluctuates with external events, yet early September lacks immediate catalysts such as product launches or high-stakes developments that previously drove weekly totals above 150. Traders are pricing in continuity of this baseline rhythm rather than outlier spikes, though any unforeseen viral moment could still shift volume within the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$66,228End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderate posting patterns on X position the 40-64 and 65-89 brackets as the clear market leaders for Elon Musk's September 3-5 activity, with combined implied probability exceeding 75%. Short-term settlements show consistent daily volumes in the low-to-mid teens to low twenties, including a 40-64 outcome for the period ending September 2, reflecting a steady but unspectacular cadence of original posts, replies, and reposts without major company announcements or political cycles to accelerate engagement. Historical data confirms Musk's output fluctuates with external events, yet early September lacks immediate catalysts such as product launches or high-stakes developments that previously drove weekly totals above 150. Traders are pricing in continuity of this baseline rhythm rather than outlier spikes, though any unforeseen viral moment could still shift volume within the three-day window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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