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icon for Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Alexander Vindman 92.0%

Angie Nixon 7.9%

Josh Weil <1%

Jennifer Jenkins <1%

Polymarket

$184,146 Vol.

Alexander Vindman 92.0%

Angie Nixon 7.9%

Josh Weil <1%

Jennifer Jenkins <1%

Polymarket

$184,146 Vol.

icon for Alexander Vindman

Alexander Vindman

$60,118 Vol.

92%

icon for Angie Nixon

Angie Nixon

$17,307 Vol.

8%

icon for Josh Weil

Josh Weil

$6,685 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jennifer Jenkins

Jennifer Jenkins

$36,724 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charlie Crist

Charlie Crist

$4,246 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alan Grayson

Alan Grayson

$2,777 Vol.

<1%

icon for Joey Atkins

Joey Atkins

$3,329 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jared Moskowitz

Jared Moskowitz

$52,960 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Alexander Vindman’s commanding position in the Florida Democratic Senate primary stems from his early entry, national name recognition as a former National Security Council official and impeachment witness, and overwhelming fundraising edge exceeding $14 million compared to state Representative Angie Nixon’s roughly $625,000. With the August 18 primary just days away and most other declared candidates having withdrawn, traders see limited paths for an upset in a contest defined by Vindman’s established profile and organizational resources. Nixon’s progressive record offers a potential contrast on issues like affordability, but recent polling and campaign momentum have not narrowed the gap. A late surge by Nixon or unexpectedly high turnout among her supporters remains the main scenario that could still shift the outcome before votes are cast.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$184,146
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Alexander Vindman’s commanding position in the Florida Democratic Senate primary stems from his early entry, national name recognition as a former National Security Council official and impeachment witness, and overwhelming fundraising edge exceeding $14 million compared to state Representative Angie Nixon’s roughly $625,000. With the August 18 primary just days away and most other declared candidates having withdrawn, traders see limited paths for an upset in a contest defined by Vindman’s established profile and organizational resources. Nixon’s progressive record offers a potential contrast on issues like affordability, but recent polling and campaign momentum have not narrowed the gap. A late surge by Nixon or unexpectedly high turnout among her supporters remains the main scenario that could still shift the outcome before votes are cast.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$184,146
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Vindman" at 92%, followed by "Angie Nixon" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 92¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $184.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Alexander Vindman" at 92%, meaning the market assigns a 92% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Angie Nixon" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.