Darline Graham, appointed to complete her late brother Lindsey Graham’s Senate term after his July 2026 death, advanced from the August 11 special Republican primary with 32.8% as the top finisher in a crowded field. She now faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 runoff. Trump’s endorsement has boosted her profile among primary voters, while Norman highlights his congressional experience, consistent alignment with Trump priorities, and questions the compressed timeline for vetting a political newcomer. A recent debate featured exchanges on experience, foreign policy knowledge, and campaign funding. Pre-primary polling showed a close race, and the short campaign window plus any late shifts in turnout or endorsements among South Carolina Republicans remain key variables ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 25, 2026
≥30%
95%
≥40%
53%
≥45%
70%
≥50%
80%
≥55%
57%
≥60%
22%
≥65%
4%
≥75%
1%
≥85%
1%
$6,402 Vol.
≥30%
$1,018 Vol.
95%
≥40%
$742 Vol.
53%
≥45%
$201 Vol.
70%
≥50%
$2,404 Vol.
80%
≥55%
$304 Vol.
57%
≥60%
$589 Vol.
22%
≥65%
$328 Vol.
4%
≥75%
$389 Vol.
1%
≥85%
$426 Vol.
1%
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham, appointed to complete her late brother Lindsey Graham’s Senate term after his July 2026 death, advanced from the August 11 special Republican primary with 32.8% as the top finisher in a crowded field. She now faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 runoff. Trump’s endorsement has boosted her profile among primary voters, while Norman highlights his congressional experience, consistent alignment with Trump priorities, and questions the compressed timeline for vetting a political newcomer. A recent debate featured exchanges on experience, foreign policy knowledge, and campaign funding. Pre-primary polling showed a close race, and the short campaign window plus any late shifts in turnout or endorsements among South Carolina Republicans remain key variables ahead of the vote.
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Volume
$6,402End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darline Graham, appointed to complete her late brother Lindsey Graham’s Senate term after his July 2026 death, advanced from the August 11 special Republican primary with 32.8% as the top finisher in a crowded field. She now faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 runoff. Trump’s endorsement has boosted her profile among primary voters, while Norman highlights his congressional experience, consistent alignment with Trump priorities, and questions the compressed timeline for vetting a political newcomer. A recent debate featured exchanges on experience, foreign policy knowledge, and campaign funding. Pre-primary polling showed a close race, and the short campaign window plus any late shifts in turnout or endorsements among South Carolina Republicans remain key variables ahead of the vote.
The runoff election for the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary in the 2026 US Senate election is scheduled for August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Darline Graham wins at least the specified percentage of the valid votes cast in the 2026 South Carolina special Republican primary runoff election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$6,402End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Darline Graham, appointed to complete her late brother Lindsey Graham’s Senate term after his July 2026 death, advanced from the August 11 special Republican primary with 32.8% as the top finisher in a crowded field. She now faces Rep. Ralph Norman in the August 25 runoff. Trump’s endorsement has boosted her profile among primary voters, while Norman highlights his congressional experience, consistent alignment with Trump priorities, and questions the compressed timeline for vetting a political newcomer. A recent debate featured exchanges on experience, foreign policy knowledge, and campaign funding. Pre-primary polling showed a close race, and the short campaign window plus any late shifts in turnout or endorsements among South Carolina Republicans remain key variables ahead of the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
78%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?
20%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?
46%
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