Baba Malam Wali’s emergence as the APC governorship candidate for the 2027 Yobe election, following his decisive primary victory and endorsements from Governor Mai Mala Buni and former Governor Ibrahim Geidam, underpins trader pricing that heavily favors him. The outcome reflects broad party stakeholder consensus around continuity, administrative experience from his long tenure as Secretary to the State Government, and regional power-shift dynamics favoring Yobe North. Remaining aspirants who initially contested the consensus process have largely withdrawn or faced procedural setbacks, while limited court challenges continue without altering the nomination. APC’s established dominance in Yobe state elections, combined with Wali’s ongoing consultations with traditional institutions, reinforces the implied probability reflected in current market odds for the APC nominee over other listed contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Yobe, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Baba Wali 87%
Abdullahi Sharif 9%
Kassim Gana Geidam 1.1%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Baba Wali
87%
Abdullahi Sharif
9%
Kassim Gana Geidam
1%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida
1%
Baba Wali 87%
Abdullahi Sharif 9%
Kassim Gana Geidam 1.1%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida <1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Baba Wali
$5,553 Vol.
87%
Abdullahi Sharif
$435 Vol.
9%
Kassim Gana Geidam
$131 Vol.
1%
Abdullahi Usman Maigida
$231 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Baba Malam Wali’s emergence as the APC governorship candidate for the 2027 Yobe election, following his decisive primary victory and endorsements from Governor Mai Mala Buni and former Governor Ibrahim Geidam, underpins trader pricing that heavily favors him. The outcome reflects broad party stakeholder consensus around continuity, administrative experience from his long tenure as Secretary to the State Government, and regional power-shift dynamics favoring Yobe North. Remaining aspirants who initially contested the consensus process have largely withdrawn or faced procedural setbacks, while limited court challenges continue without altering the nomination. APC’s established dominance in Yobe state elections, combined with Wali’s ongoing consultations with traditional institutions, reinforces the implied probability reflected in current market odds for the APC nominee over other listed contenders.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$6,349End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Baba Malam Wali’s emergence as the APC governorship candidate for the 2027 Yobe election, following his decisive primary victory and endorsements from Governor Mai Mala Buni and former Governor Ibrahim Geidam, underpins trader pricing that heavily favors him. The outcome reflects broad party stakeholder consensus around continuity, administrative experience from his long tenure as Secretary to the State Government, and regional power-shift dynamics favoring Yobe North. Remaining aspirants who initially contested the consensus process have largely withdrawn or faced procedural setbacks, while limited court challenges continue without altering the nomination. APC’s established dominance in Yobe state elections, combined with Wali’s ongoing consultations with traditional institutions, reinforces the implied probability reflected in current market odds for the APC nominee over other listed contenders.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Yobe State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$6,349End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Baba Malam Wali’s emergence as the APC governorship candidate for the 2027 Yobe election, following his decisive primary victory and endorsements from Governor Mai Mala Buni and former Governor Ibrahim Geidam, underpins trader pricing that heavily favors him. The outcome reflects broad party stakeholder consensus around continuity, administrative experience from his long tenure as Secretary to the State Government, and regional power-shift dynamics favoring Yobe North. Remaining aspirants who initially contested the consensus process have largely withdrawn or faced procedural setbacks, while limited court challenges continue without altering the nomination. APC’s established dominance in Yobe state elections, combined with Wali’s ongoing consultations with traditional institutions, reinforces the implied probability reflected in current market odds for the APC nominee over other listed contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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