Agbu Kefas leads trader consensus at 60.8% as the incumbent governor of Taraba State ahead of the February 2027 election, bolstered by his January 2026 defection from the PDP to the APC and a decisive primary victory with over 166,000 votes. Recent stakeholder meetings have positioned him as the APC consensus candidate, supported by infrastructure projects, federal alignment under President Tinubu, and endorsements from groups including the Igbo community and the Pentecostal Fellowship of Nigeria. Emmanuel Bwacha trails at 27.5% as the likely PDP nominee, drawing on prior networks and rural ties but facing a narrower path. Other listed aspirants register minimal implied probabilities amid the APC’s organizational edge and ongoing reconciliation efforts within the party. The February 6 voting date remains the key resolution trigger under Nigeria’s electoral system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAgbu Kefas 60.8%
Emmanuel Bwacha 28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga 6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Agbu Kefas
61%
Emmanuel Bwacha
28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga
6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma
1%
Agbu Kefas 60.8%
Emmanuel Bwacha 28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga 6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma 1.1%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Agbu Kefas
$2,975 Vol.
61%
Emmanuel Bwacha
$1,329 Vol.
28%
Aboki Stephen Bayonga
$82 Vol.
6%
Shiddi Usman Danjuma
$40 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Agbu Kefas leads trader consensus at 60.8% as the incumbent governor of Taraba State ahead of the February 2027 election, bolstered by his January 2026 defection from the PDP to the APC and a decisive primary victory with over 166,000 votes. Recent stakeholder meetings have positioned him as the APC consensus candidate, supported by infrastructure projects, federal alignment under President Tinubu, and endorsements from groups including the Igbo community and the Pentecostal Fellowship of Nigeria. Emmanuel Bwacha trails at 27.5% as the likely PDP nominee, drawing on prior networks and rural ties but facing a narrower path. Other listed aspirants register minimal implied probabilities amid the APC’s organizational edge and ongoing reconciliation efforts within the party. The February 6 voting date remains the key resolution trigger under Nigeria’s electoral system.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ET
Volume
$4,427End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Agbu Kefas leads trader consensus at 60.8% as the incumbent governor of Taraba State ahead of the February 2027 election, bolstered by his January 2026 defection from the PDP to the APC and a decisive primary victory with over 166,000 votes. Recent stakeholder meetings have positioned him as the APC consensus candidate, supported by infrastructure projects, federal alignment under President Tinubu, and endorsements from groups including the Igbo community and the Pentecostal Fellowship of Nigeria. Emmanuel Bwacha trails at 27.5% as the likely PDP nominee, drawing on prior networks and rural ties but facing a narrower path. Other listed aspirants register minimal implied probabilities amid the APC’s organizational edge and ongoing reconciliation efforts within the party. The February 6 voting date remains the key resolution trigger under Nigeria’s electoral system.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Taraba State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$4,427End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Agbu Kefas leads trader consensus at 60.8% as the incumbent governor of Taraba State ahead of the February 2027 election, bolstered by his January 2026 defection from the PDP to the APC and a decisive primary victory with over 166,000 votes. Recent stakeholder meetings have positioned him as the APC consensus candidate, supported by infrastructure projects, federal alignment under President Tinubu, and endorsements from groups including the Igbo community and the Pentecostal Fellowship of Nigeria. Emmanuel Bwacha trails at 27.5% as the likely PDP nominee, drawing on prior networks and rural ties but facing a narrower path. Other listed aspirants register minimal implied probabilities amid the APC’s organizational edge and ongoing reconciliation efforts within the party. The February 6 voting date remains the key resolution trigger under Nigeria’s electoral system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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