United Russia maintains a dominant position heading into the September 2026 State Duma elections, with current holdings near 310 seats and strong performance in recent regional contests reinforcing expectations of another substantial majority. Kremlin administrative resources, candidate selection controls, and marginalization of non-systemic opposition continue to favor the ruling party across both proportional and single-member district components. State polls place its support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range amid wartime conditions and economic pressures, while independent surveys indicate softer backing; however, the party’s centralized campaign structure, recent leadership adjustments, and high-turnout mobilization efforts support trader consensus around outcomes near or modestly above its 2021 result of 324 seats. No major disruptive events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated325–339 39%
310–324 22.1%
340–354 20%
355+ 12%
$181,553 Vol.
$181,553 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
3%
280–294
3%
295–309
6%
310–324
22%
325–339
39%
340–354
20%
355+
12%
325–339 39%
310–324 22.1%
340–354 20%
355+ 12%
$181,553 Vol.
$181,553 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
$25,971 Vol.
3%
280–294
$16,062 Vol.
3%
295–309
$11,250 Vol.
6%
310–324
$14,476 Vol.
22%
325–339
$27,536 Vol.
39%
340–354
$48,435 Vol.
20%
355+
$37,824 Vol.
12%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a dominant position heading into the September 2026 State Duma elections, with current holdings near 310 seats and strong performance in recent regional contests reinforcing expectations of another substantial majority. Kremlin administrative resources, candidate selection controls, and marginalization of non-systemic opposition continue to favor the ruling party across both proportional and single-member district components. State polls place its support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range amid wartime conditions and economic pressures, while independent surveys indicate softer backing; however, the party’s centralized campaign structure, recent leadership adjustments, and high-turnout mobilization efforts support trader consensus around outcomes near or modestly above its 2021 result of 324 seats. No major disruptive events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Market Opened: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volume
$181,553End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a dominant position heading into the September 2026 State Duma elections, with current holdings near 310 seats and strong performance in recent regional contests reinforcing expectations of another substantial majority. Kremlin administrative resources, candidate selection controls, and marginalization of non-systemic opposition continue to favor the ruling party across both proportional and single-member district components. State polls place its support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range amid wartime conditions and economic pressures, while independent surveys indicate softer backing; however, the party’s centralized campaign structure, recent leadership adjustments, and high-turnout mobilization efforts support trader consensus around outcomes near or modestly above its 2021 result of 324 seats. No major disruptive events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$181,553End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a dominant position heading into the September 2026 State Duma elections, with current holdings near 310 seats and strong performance in recent regional contests reinforcing expectations of another substantial majority. Kremlin administrative resources, candidate selection controls, and marginalization of non-systemic opposition continue to favor the ruling party across both proportional and single-member district components. State polls place its support in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range amid wartime conditions and economic pressures, while independent surveys indicate softer backing; however, the party’s centralized campaign structure, recent leadership adjustments, and high-turnout mobilization efforts support trader consensus around outcomes near or modestly above its 2021 result of 324 seats. No major disruptive events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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