The market-implied odds of 98% on "No" reflect traders' assessment that no verifiable developments or cultural signals point to an imminent return of Jesus Christ within the narrow remaining window before 2027. Strong consensus stems from centuries of unfulfilled predictions, the absence of matching biblical-scale events in recent months, and the practical reality that resolution hinges on an observable, widely acknowledged supernatural occurrence unlikely to materialize on such a compressed timeline. Historical voting patterns among religious communities and mainstream theological views further anchor skepticism, with traders treating the market as a test of observable outcomes rather than private belief. A realistic upset would require a sudden, globally recognized event—such as a dramatic public phenomenon or coordinated religious announcement—capable of shifting sentiment before the year ends, though such catalysts remain exceedingly rare.