The Odyssey has surged to an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as the film expected to lead the 99th Academy Awards in nominations, driven by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release earning widespread critical acclaim, including an 89 Metacritic score, strong box office, and early industry consensus projecting 14-plus nods across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, acting categories for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway, and nearly every major technical field. Its summer timing has allowed sustained awards momentum ahead of the January 2027 nominations, unlike Dune: Messiah, which remains months from release despite strong franchise pedigree and technical expectations. Project Hail Mary and other contenders trail with far less current visibility or precursor support, underscoring how release timing and early reviews have shaped trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey 80%
Dune: Messiah 10.8%
Project Hail Mary 4.1%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$113,627 Vol.
$113,627 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
The Odyssey
80%
Dune: Messiah
11%
Project Hail Mary
4%
Wild Horse Nine
1%
The Social Reckoning
1%
The Bride!
<1%
Wuthering Heights
<1%
Disclosure Day
<1%
The Odyssey 80%
Dune: Messiah 10.8%
Project Hail Mary 4.1%
Wild Horse Nine <1%
$113,627 Vol.
$113,627 Vol.
Feb 28, 2027
The Odyssey
$28,846 Vol.
80%
Dune: Messiah
$56,544 Vol.
11%
Project Hail Mary
$7,467 Vol.
4%
Wild Horse Nine
$4,389 Vol.
1%
The Social Reckoning
$3,472 Vol.
1%
The Bride!
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
Wuthering Heights
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
Disclosure Day
$6,644 Vol.
<1%
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey has surged to an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as the film expected to lead the 99th Academy Awards in nominations, driven by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release earning widespread critical acclaim, including an 89 Metacritic score, strong box office, and early industry consensus projecting 14-plus nods across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, acting categories for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway, and nearly every major technical field. Its summer timing has allowed sustained awards momentum ahead of the January 2027 nominations, unlike Dune: Messiah, which remains months from release despite strong franchise pedigree and technical expectations. Project Hail Mary and other contenders trail with far less current visibility or precursor support, underscoring how release timing and early reviews have shaped trader sentiment.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$113,627End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey has surged to an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as the film expected to lead the 99th Academy Awards in nominations, driven by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release earning widespread critical acclaim, including an 89 Metacritic score, strong box office, and early industry consensus projecting 14-plus nods across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, acting categories for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway, and nearly every major technical field. Its summer timing has allowed sustained awards momentum ahead of the January 2027 nominations, unlike Dune: Messiah, which remains months from release despite strong franchise pedigree and technical expectations. Project Hail Mary and other contenders trail with far less current visibility or precursor support, underscoring how release timing and early reviews have shaped trader sentiment.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$113,627End Date
Feb 28, 2027Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Odyssey has surged to an overwhelming 79.5% implied probability as the film expected to lead the 99th Academy Awards in nominations, driven by Christopher Nolan’s July 2026 release earning widespread critical acclaim, including an 89 Metacritic score, strong box office, and early industry consensus projecting 14-plus nods across Best Picture, Director, Adapted Screenplay, acting categories for Matt Damon and Anne Hathaway, and nearly every major technical field. Its summer timing has allowed sustained awards momentum ahead of the January 2027 nominations, unlike Dune: Messiah, which remains months from release despite strong franchise pedigree and technical expectations. Project Hail Mary and other contenders trail with far less current visibility or precursor support, underscoring how release timing and early reviews have shaped trader sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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