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Tech·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

icon for Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Tech·AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$13,907 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$13,907 Vol.

Polymarket

Tampa, FL

$1,629 Vol.

89%

San Diego, CA

$511 Vol.

83%

Las Vegas, NV

$1,603 Vol.

81%

Charlotte, NC

$75 Vol.

61%

St. Louis, MO

$0 Vol.

49%

Philadelphia, PA

$0 Vol.

42%

Detroit, MI

$95 Vol.

40%

Baltimore, MD

$437 Vol.

35%

New York, NY

$399 Vol.

28%

London, UK

$74 Vol.

35%

Washington, DC

$1,107 Vol.

22%

Minneapolis, MN

$1,481 Vol.

20%

Seattle, WA

$57 Vol.

18%

Portland, OR

$2,295 Vol.

11%

Boston, MA

$2,905 Vol.

10%

Denver, CO

$194 Vol.

53%

Pittsburgh, PA

$104 Vol.

57%

New Orleans, LA

$61 Vol.

49%

Chicago, IL

$581 Vol.

41%

Tokyo, Japan

$20 Vol.

45%

Sacramento, CA

$280 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid 2026 rollout of driverless robotaxi service across additional U.S. markets, backed by major financing and scaled operations reaching 15+ cities by mid-August, drives trader sentiment for launches by year-end. Recent milestones include public service in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and Tampa, with expansions building on earlier deployments in Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Austin, and Atlanta. Aggressive timelines target at least 20 total cities plus initial international entries like London, supported by partnerships such as Lyft and testing in challenging conditions. Key swing factors include regulatory approvals, weather-related edge cases in northern or international markets, fleet scaling to one million weekly rides, and competition from other autonomous platforms, though Waymo's operational track record supports broad consensus on near-term additions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,907
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Waymo's rapid 2026 rollout of driverless robotaxi service across additional U.S. markets, backed by major financing and scaled operations reaching 15+ cities by mid-August, drives trader sentiment for launches by year-end. Recent milestones include public service in Dallas, Houston, San Antonio, Orlando, Miami, Denver, Las Vegas, San Diego, and Tampa, with expansions building on earlier deployments in Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Austin, and Atlanta. Aggressive timelines target at least 20 total cities plus initial international entries like London, supported by partnerships such as Lyft and testing in challenging conditions. Key swing factors include regulatory approvals, weather-related edge cases in northern or international markets, fleet scaling to one million weekly rides, and competition from other autonomous platforms, though Waymo's operational track record supports broad consensus on near-term additions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.

A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber).

Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.

The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$13,907
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tampa, FL" at 89%, followed by "San Diego, CA" at 83%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" has generated $13.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" is "Tampa, FL" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "San Diego, CA" at 83%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.