Recent July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment finalized at 55.2, a sharp rebound from June's 49.5 driven by easing gasoline prices after earlier geopolitical pressures, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing to 4.2%. This sets up closely matched trader-implied odds for the August 14 preliminary release, with the 52.0–54.9 range leading at 37% and 55.0–57.9 at 32%. Market pricing reflects balanced risks from persistent cost-of-living concerns, July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, and mixed labor-market signals. Aggregated capital bets hinge on whether the modest upturn extends amid five years of elevated prices or reverts, with the early-August survey window capturing conditions ahead of potential shifts in Treasury yields or risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated52.0–54.9 37%
55.0–57.9 32%
49.0–51.9 14%
58.0–60.9 7.2%
$16,491 Vol.
$16,491 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
5%
49.0–51.9
14%
52.0–54.9
37%
55.0–57.9
32%
58.0–60.9
7%
61.0–63.9
6%
64.0+
4%
52.0–54.9 37%
55.0–57.9 32%
49.0–51.9 14%
58.0–60.9 7.2%
$16,491 Vol.
$16,491 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
$699 Vol.
5%
49.0–51.9
$1,155 Vol.
14%
52.0–54.9
$10,093 Vol.
37%
55.0–57.9
$2,719 Vol.
32%
58.0–60.9
$918 Vol.
7%
61.0–63.9
$436 Vol.
6%
64.0+
$471 Vol.
4%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment finalized at 55.2, a sharp rebound from June's 49.5 driven by easing gasoline prices after earlier geopolitical pressures, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing to 4.2%. This sets up closely matched trader-implied odds for the August 14 preliminary release, with the 52.0–54.9 range leading at 37% and 55.0–57.9 at 32%. Market pricing reflects balanced risks from persistent cost-of-living concerns, July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, and mixed labor-market signals. Aggregated capital bets hinge on whether the modest upturn extends amid five years of elevated prices or reverts, with the early-August survey window capturing conditions ahead of potential shifts in Treasury yields or risk appetite.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$16,491End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment finalized at 55.2, a sharp rebound from June's 49.5 driven by easing gasoline prices after earlier geopolitical pressures, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing to 4.2%. This sets up closely matched trader-implied odds for the August 14 preliminary release, with the 52.0–54.9 range leading at 37% and 55.0–57.9 at 32%. Market pricing reflects balanced risks from persistent cost-of-living concerns, July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, and mixed labor-market signals. Aggregated capital bets hinge on whether the modest upturn extends amid five years of elevated prices or reverts, with the early-August survey window capturing conditions ahead of potential shifts in Treasury yields or risk appetite.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$16,491End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment finalized at 55.2, a sharp rebound from June's 49.5 driven by easing gasoline prices after earlier geopolitical pressures, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing to 4.2%. This sets up closely matched trader-implied odds for the August 14 preliminary release, with the 52.0–54.9 range leading at 37% and 55.0–57.9 at 32%. Market pricing reflects balanced risks from persistent cost-of-living concerns, July CPI at 3.4% year-over-year, and mixed labor-market signals. Aggregated capital bets hinge on whether the modest upturn extends amid five years of elevated prices or reverts, with the early-August survey window capturing conditions ahead of potential shifts in Treasury yields or risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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