Recent moderation in U.S. producer prices, with the July 2026 PPI YoY easing to 4.7% from 5.5% in June and coming in below consensus, has anchored trader views on the August reading amid softening goods prices and a 3.1% drop in final demand energy. Core measures also cooled, with the ex-food-and-energy index rising just 0.2% month-over-month. Offsetting this, late-July oil price gains and commodity volatility could reintroduce upside pressure in August data due September 10. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 4.6% and 5.1% (each in the mid-to-high 30s), sentiment reflects balanced uncertainty over whether the disinflation trend persists or rebounds, consistent with stable labor conditions and broader CPI easing to 3.4%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4.6% 39%
5.0% 38%
4.7% 38%
4.8% 36%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
7%
4.3%
7%
4.4%
7%
4.5%
7%
4.6%
39%
4.7%
38%
4.8%
36%
4.9%
35%
5.0%
38%
5.1%+
40%
4.6% 39%
5.0% 38%
4.7% 38%
4.8% 36%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
$0 Vol.
7%
4.3%
$0 Vol.
7%
4.4%
$0 Vol.
7%
4.5%
$0 Vol.
7%
4.6%
$0 Vol.
39%
4.7%
$0 Vol.
38%
4.8%
$0 Vol.
36%
4.9%
$0 Vol.
35%
5.0%
$0 Vol.
38%
5.1%+
$20 Vol.
40%
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. producer prices, with the July 2026 PPI YoY easing to 4.7% from 5.5% in June and coming in below consensus, has anchored trader views on the August reading amid softening goods prices and a 3.1% drop in final demand energy. Core measures also cooled, with the ex-food-and-energy index rising just 0.2% month-over-month. Offsetting this, late-July oil price gains and commodity volatility could reintroduce upside pressure in August data due September 10. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 4.6% and 5.1% (each in the mid-to-high 30s), sentiment reflects balanced uncertainty over whether the disinflation trend persists or rebounds, consistent with stable labor conditions and broader CPI easing to 3.4%.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent moderation in U.S. producer prices, with the July 2026 PPI YoY easing to 4.7% from 5.5% in June and coming in below consensus, has anchored trader views on the August reading amid softening goods prices and a 3.1% drop in final demand energy. Core measures also cooled, with the ex-food-and-energy index rising just 0.2% month-over-month. Offsetting this, late-July oil price gains and commodity volatility could reintroduce upside pressure in August data due September 10. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 4.6% and 5.1% (each in the mid-to-high 30s), sentiment reflects balanced uncertainty over whether the disinflation trend persists or rebounds, consistent with stable labor conditions and broader CPI easing to 3.4%.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$20End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in U.S. producer prices, with the July 2026 PPI YoY easing to 4.7% from 5.5% in June and coming in below consensus, has anchored trader views on the August reading amid softening goods prices and a 3.1% drop in final demand energy. Core measures also cooled, with the ex-food-and-energy index rising just 0.2% month-over-month. Offsetting this, late-July oil price gains and commodity volatility could reintroduce upside pressure in August data due September 10. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 4.6% and 5.1% (each in the mid-to-high 30s), sentiment reflects balanced uncertainty over whether the disinflation trend persists or rebounds, consistent with stable labor conditions and broader CPI easing to 3.4%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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