Recent July CPI data showed China's annual inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts amid persistent weakness in food prices, particularly pork, and softer non-food categories driven by subdued domestic demand and lower energy costs. Traders price the 0.7-0.8% band narrowly ahead of the 0.5-0.6% range for August because these deflationary pressures could persist or moderate depending on consumption trends and any policy support measures. Core inflation near 0.9% and easing producer prices add to the uncertainty, with the closely matched probabilities reflecting limited catalysts for sharp divergence before the September release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.7% - 0.8% 41%
0.5% - 0.6% 36%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.7%
≤0.2% 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
8%
0.3% - 0.4%
11%
0.5% - 0.6%
36%
0.7% - 0.8%
41%
0.9%+
7%
0.7% - 0.8% 41%
0.5% - 0.6% 36%
0.3% - 0.4% 10.7%
≤0.2% 8%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
≤0.2%
$145 Vol.
8%
0.3% - 0.4%
$249 Vol.
11%
0.5% - 0.6%
$2,619 Vol.
36%
0.7% - 0.8%
$3,883 Vol.
41%
0.9%+
$158 Vol.
7%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent July CPI data showed China's annual inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts amid persistent weakness in food prices, particularly pork, and softer non-food categories driven by subdued domestic demand and lower energy costs. Traders price the 0.7-0.8% band narrowly ahead of the 0.5-0.6% range for August because these deflationary pressures could persist or moderate depending on consumption trends and any policy support measures. Core inflation near 0.9% and easing producer prices add to the uncertainty, with the closely matched probabilities reflecting limited catalysts for sharp divergence before the September release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volume
$7,054End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Recent July CPI data showed China's annual inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts amid persistent weakness in food prices, particularly pork, and softer non-food categories driven by subdued domestic demand and lower energy costs. Traders price the 0.7-0.8% band narrowly ahead of the 0.5-0.6% range for August because these deflationary pressures could persist or moderate depending on consumption trends and any policy support measures. Core inflation near 0.9% and easing producer prices add to the uncertainty, with the closely matched probabilities reflecting limited catalysts for sharp divergence before the September release.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$7,054End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showed China's annual inflation easing to 0.5% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts amid persistent weakness in food prices, particularly pork, and softer non-food categories driven by subdued domestic demand and lower energy costs. Traders price the 0.7-0.8% band narrowly ahead of the 0.5-0.6% range for August because these deflationary pressures could persist or moderate depending on consumption trends and any policy support measures. Core inflation near 0.9% and easing producer prices add to the uncertainty, with the closely matched probabilities reflecting limited catalysts for sharp divergence before the September release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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