Recent July CPI data, showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month rise amid a 1.5% energy decline that offset shelter gains, anchors trader expectations for the August print near 0.3–0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place headline CPI at 0.35% and core at 0.20%, reflecting baseline stability in food prices and moderating gasoline costs, while resilient labor conditions and services inflation sustain upside risks. The near-even split between 0.3% and 0.4% implied odds captures uncertainty over shelter components and potential core goods rebounds, with markets viewing the September 11 release as a key input for Federal Reserve policy ahead of the FOMC meeting. Nonfarm payrolls and producer prices due before then could shift the balance by clarifying demand pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated0.4% 40%
0.3% 38%
≥0.5% 11%
0.2% 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
1%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
1%
0.1%
1%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
38%
0.4%
40%
≥0.5%
11%
0.4% 40%
0.3% 38%
≥0.5% 11%
0.2% 9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
$146 Vol.
1%
-0.2%
$146 Vol.
5%
-0.1%
$231 Vol.
1%
0.0%
$305 Vol.
1%
0.1%
$263 Vol.
1%
0.2%
$166 Vol.
9%
0.3%
$1,400 Vol.
38%
0.4%
$807 Vol.
40%
≥0.5%
$423 Vol.
11%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data, showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month rise amid a 1.5% energy decline that offset shelter gains, anchors trader expectations for the August print near 0.3–0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place headline CPI at 0.35% and core at 0.20%, reflecting baseline stability in food prices and moderating gasoline costs, while resilient labor conditions and services inflation sustain upside risks. The near-even split between 0.3% and 0.4% implied odds captures uncertainty over shelter components and potential core goods rebounds, with markets viewing the September 11 release as a key input for Federal Reserve policy ahead of the FOMC meeting. Nonfarm payrolls and producer prices due before then could shift the balance by clarifying demand pressures.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$3,886End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data, showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month rise amid a 1.5% energy decline that offset shelter gains, anchors trader expectations for the August print near 0.3–0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place headline CPI at 0.35% and core at 0.20%, reflecting baseline stability in food prices and moderating gasoline costs, while resilient labor conditions and services inflation sustain upside risks. The near-even split between 0.3% and 0.4% implied odds captures uncertainty over shelter components and potential core goods rebounds, with markets viewing the September 11 release as a key input for Federal Reserve policy ahead of the FOMC meeting. Nonfarm payrolls and producer prices due before then could shift the balance by clarifying demand pressures.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$3,886End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data, showing a modest 0.1% month-over-month rise amid a 1.5% energy decline that offset shelter gains, anchors trader expectations for the August print near 0.3–0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place headline CPI at 0.35% and core at 0.20%, reflecting baseline stability in food prices and moderating gasoline costs, while resilient labor conditions and services inflation sustain upside risks. The near-even split between 0.3% and 0.4% implied odds captures uncertainty over shelter components and potential core goods rebounds, with markets viewing the September 11 release as a key input for Federal Reserve policy ahead of the FOMC meeting. Nonfarm payrolls and producer prices due before then could shift the balance by clarifying demand pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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