Google's strong positioning in the Text Arena Math lab rankings stems from its Gemini 3.x series updates, including gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.6 variants that have climbed into the top 10 models with competitive Elo scores around 1521. These releases have bolstered trader consensus on Google's lab rank, reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for second place by September 30. Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable models currently dominate the top spots, while Alibaba, OpenAI, and others trail in aggregated lab performance. With limited major announcements expected before resolution, recent benchmark gains and model iteration speed remain the key swing factors in this closely watched segment of the arena.ai leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGoogle 61%
Alibaba 18%
OpenAI 5.5%
Meituan 5.2%
$23,385 Vol.
$23,385 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
61%
Alibaba
18%
OpenAI
6%
Meituan
8%
Anthropic
5%
ByteDance
4%
Xiaomi
3%
Baidu
2%
Tencent
2%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
6%
Moonshot
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Z.ai
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Amazon
1%
Nvidia
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Google 61%
Alibaba 18%
OpenAI 5.5%
Meituan 5.2%
$23,385 Vol.
$23,385 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
$8,400 Vol.
61%
Alibaba
$2,724 Vol.
18%
OpenAI
$1,984 Vol.
6%
Meituan
$596 Vol.
8%
Anthropic
$2,367 Vol.
5%
ByteDance
$448 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$842 Vol.
3%
Baidu
$451 Vol.
2%
Tencent
$529 Vol.
2%
MiniMax
$457 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$474 Vol.
6%
Moonshot
$467 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$465 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$466 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$580 Vol.
1%
Meta
$416 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$438 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$477 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$485 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$318 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's strong positioning in the Text Arena Math lab rankings stems from its Gemini 3.x series updates, including gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.6 variants that have climbed into the top 10 models with competitive Elo scores around 1521. These releases have bolstered trader consensus on Google's lab rank, reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for second place by September 30. Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable models currently dominate the top spots, while Alibaba, OpenAI, and others trail in aggregated lab performance. With limited major announcements expected before resolution, recent benchmark gains and model iteration speed remain the key swing factors in this closely watched segment of the arena.ai leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$23,385End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's strong positioning in the Text Arena Math lab rankings stems from its Gemini 3.x series updates, including gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.6 variants that have climbed into the top 10 models with competitive Elo scores around 1521. These releases have bolstered trader consensus on Google's lab rank, reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for second place by September 30. Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable models currently dominate the top spots, while Alibaba, OpenAI, and others trail in aggregated lab performance. With limited major announcements expected before resolution, recent benchmark gains and model iteration speed remain the key swing factors in this closely watched segment of the arena.ai leaderboard.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$23,385End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's strong positioning in the Text Arena Math lab rankings stems from its Gemini 3.x series updates, including gemini-3.7-flash-high and gemini-3.6 variants that have climbed into the top 10 models with competitive Elo scores around 1521. These releases have bolstered trader consensus on Google's lab rank, reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for second place by September 30. Anthropic's Claude Opus and Fable models currently dominate the top spots, while Alibaba, OpenAI, and others trail in aggregated lab performance. With limited major announcements expected before resolution, recent benchmark gains and model iteration speed remain the key swing factors in this closely watched segment of the arena.ai leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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