Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 9, driven by moderating easterly flow, high humidity near 85–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 31–34°C with minimal overnight drops, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea. Trader-implied odds cluster around 24–28°C outcomes because model runs diverge on exact cloud cover and timing of any showers, which could suppress the minimum by 1–3°C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and local observations on September 8 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
32°C or higher 67%
22°C or below 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
59%
23°C
17%
24°C
49%
25°C
27%
26°C
30%
27°C
30%
28°C
49%
29°C
3%
30°C
11%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
67%
32°C or higher 67%
22°C or below 59%
24°C 49%
28°C 49%
NEW
NEW
Sep 9, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
59%
23°C
$0 Vol.
17%
24°C
$0 Vol.
49%
25°C
$0 Vol.
27%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
30%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 9, driven by moderating easterly flow, high humidity near 85–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 31–34°C with minimal overnight drops, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea. Trader-implied odds cluster around 24–28°C outcomes because model runs diverge on exact cloud cover and timing of any showers, which could suppress the minimum by 1–3°C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and local observations on September 8 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 9, driven by moderating easterly flow, high humidity near 85–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 31–34°C with minimal overnight drops, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea. Trader-implied odds cluster around 24–28°C outcomes because model runs diverge on exact cloud cover and timing of any showers, which could suppress the minimum by 1–3°C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and local observations on September 8 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 9, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 24–26°C in Shenzhen on September 9, driven by moderating easterly flow, high humidity near 85–90%, and scattered thunderstorms that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Recent days have featured daytime highs of 31–34°C with minimal overnight drops, consistent with late-summer subtropical patterns and above-average sea-surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea. Trader-implied odds cluster around 24–28°C outcomes because model runs diverge on exact cloud cover and timing of any showers, which could suppress the minimum by 1–3°C or allow brief clearing to push it higher. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and local observations on September 8 will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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