**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles consistently indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Shanghai on September 8, 2026.** Northerly winds under partly cloudy skies are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling while maintaining seasonal early-autumn conditions, with dew points around 18–20°C supporting modest humidity. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, producing the market’s heavy 83.5% weighting on 24°C. Minor spreads to 23°C or 22°C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while probabilities below 22°C remain negligible absent an unforecast cold surge. Updated guidance from official agencies on September 8 will provide the final verification data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
24°C 82%
21°C 16.4%
23°C 8%
22°C 5%
NEW
$13,275 Vol.
NEW
$13,275 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
16%
22°C
5%
23°C
29%
24°C
82%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 82%
21°C 16.4%
23°C 8%
22°C 5%
NEW
$13,275 Vol.
NEW
$13,275 Vol.
Sep 8, 2026
18°C or below
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$498 Vol.
16%
22°C
$131 Vol.
5%
23°C
$1,591 Vol.
29%
24°C
$5,385 Vol.
82%
25°C
$2,236 Vol.
1%
26°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$777 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$91 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles consistently indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Shanghai on September 8, 2026.**
Northerly winds under partly cloudy skies are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling while maintaining seasonal early-autumn conditions, with dew points around 18–20°C supporting modest humidity. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, producing the market’s heavy 83.5% weighting on 24°C. Minor spreads to 23°C or 22°C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while probabilities below 22°C remain negligible absent an unforecast cold surge. Updated guidance from official agencies on September 8 will provide the final verification data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$13,275End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles consistently indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Shanghai on September 8, 2026.**
Northerly winds under partly cloudy skies are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling while maintaining seasonal early-autumn conditions, with dew points around 18–20°C supporting modest humidity. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, producing the market’s heavy 83.5% weighting on 24°C. Minor spreads to 23°C or 22°C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while probabilities below 22°C remain negligible absent an unforecast cold surge. Updated guidance from official agencies on September 8 will provide the final verification data for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,275End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles consistently indicate a minimum temperature of 23–24°C for Shanghai on September 8, 2026.** Northerly winds under partly cloudy skies are expected to limit nighttime radiative cooling while maintaining seasonal early-autumn conditions, with dew points around 18–20°C supporting modest humidity. Recent model runs show little day-to-day shift, producing the market’s heavy 83.5% weighting on 24°C. Minor spreads to 23°C or 22°C reflect typical ensemble uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, while probabilities below 22°C remain negligible absent an unforecast cold surge. Updated guidance from official agencies on September 8 will provide the final verification data for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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