**Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 24, 2026, with official model guidance from sources like the BBC pointing to a daily low of 25°C under partly sunny conditions and moderate southerly winds.** Marine moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to residual cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, supports this range rather than sharp drops. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 22-24°C, but recent thundery activity on the 23rd suggests lingering moisture that could either suppress or slightly elevate the minimum depending on exact clearing timing. Ensemble model spreads create the observed market dispersion, particularly around thresholds near 22°C versus 25-27°C, as small variations in wind or precipitation alter surface heat retention. Updated regional model runs and local observations over the next 12-18 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
22°C or below 55%
32°C or higher 48%
27°C 37%
28°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
55%
23°C
8%
24°C
14%
25°C
15%
26°C
20%
27°C
31%
28°C
37%
29°C
10%
30°C
14%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
48%
22°C or below 55%
32°C or higher 48%
27°C 37%
28°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$124 Vol.
55%
23°C
$139 Vol.
8%
24°C
$17 Vol.
14%
25°C
$0 Vol.
15%
26°C
$18 Vol.
20%
27°C
$5 Vol.
31%
28°C
$5 Vol.
37%
29°C
$5 Vol.
10%
30°C
$145 Vol.
14%
31°C
$145 Vol.
14%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 24, 2026, with official model guidance from sources like the BBC pointing to a daily low of 25°C under partly sunny conditions and moderate southerly winds.** Marine moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to residual cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, supports this range rather than sharp drops. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 22-24°C, but recent thundery activity on the 23rd suggests lingering moisture that could either suppress or slightly elevate the minimum depending on exact clearing timing. Ensemble model spreads create the observed market dispersion, particularly around thresholds near 22°C versus 25-27°C, as small variations in wind or precipitation alter surface heat retention. Updated regional model runs and local observations over the next 12-18 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$607End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 24, 2026, with official model guidance from sources like the BBC pointing to a daily low of 25°C under partly sunny conditions and moderate southerly winds.** Marine moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to residual cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, supports this range rather than sharp drops. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 22-24°C, but recent thundery activity on the 23rd suggests lingering moisture that could either suppress or slightly elevate the minimum depending on exact clearing timing. Ensemble model spreads create the observed market dispersion, particularly around thresholds near 22°C versus 25-27°C, as small variations in wind or precipitation alter surface heat retention. Updated regional model runs and local observations over the next 12-18 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$607End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Qingdao indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on August 24, 2026, with official model guidance from sources like the BBC pointing to a daily low of 25°C under partly sunny conditions and moderate southerly winds.** Marine moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with limited nocturnal radiative cooling due to residual cloud cover and humidity near 80-90%, supports this range rather than sharp drops. Historical August climatology shows typical overnight lows of 22-24°C, but recent thundery activity on the 23rd suggests lingering moisture that could either suppress or slightly elevate the minimum depending on exact clearing timing. Ensemble model spreads create the observed market dispersion, particularly around thresholds near 22°C versus 25-27°C, as small variations in wind or precipitation alter surface heat retention. Updated regional model runs and local observations over the next 12-18 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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