Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on August 25 under sunny conditions with light winds, aligning closely with the long-term August climatological average of 18–19°C. A stabilizing high-pressure ridge following earlier cold fronts has suppressed stronger warming or cooling anomalies, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than the occasional 22–24°C spikes seen in prior weeks. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official maximum readings at Cape Town International Airport; traders are monitoring any late-model shifts in the 48-hour window that could push the peak above or below 19–20°C, though current consensus supports minimal deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
21°C 40%
22°C 26%
25°C or higher 23%
20°C 16%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
16%
21°C
40%
22°C
26%
23°C
15%
24°C
15%
25°C or higher
23%
21°C 40%
22°C 26%
25°C or higher 23%
20°C 16%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
16%
21°C
40%
22°C
26%
23°C
15%
24°C
15%
25°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from South African Weather Service and international models indicate a high near 19°C for Cape Town on August 25 under sunny conditions with light winds, aligning closely with the long-term August climatological average of 18–19°C. A stabilizing high-pressure ridge following earlier cold fronts has suppressed stronger warming or cooling anomalies, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than the occasional 22–24°C spikes seen in prior weeks. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official maximum readings at Cape Town International Airport; traders are monitoring any late-model shifts in the 48-hour window that could push the peak above or below 19–20°C, though current consensus supports minimal deviation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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