Current forecasts from major models indicate a typical late-summer maximum near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and light northerly to westerly winds with moderate humidity from Red Sea moisture. This aligns closely with the August climatological average high of roughly 36–38 °C and recent observational trends showing stable hot, mostly clear conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance shows low day-to-day variability, though minor shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date, as these directly inform implied probabilities around common temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 25?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 25?
38°C 30%
39°C 28%
40°C or higher 25%
37°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
13%
37°C
18%
38°C
30%
39°C
28%
40°C or higher
25%
38°C 30%
39°C 28%
40°C or higher 25%
37°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
13%
37°C
$0 Vol.
18%
38°C
$0 Vol.
30%
39°C
$0 Vol.
28%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a typical late-summer maximum near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and light northerly to westerly winds with moderate humidity from Red Sea moisture. This aligns closely with the August climatological average high of roughly 36–38 °C and recent observational trends showing stable hot, mostly clear conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance shows low day-to-day variability, though minor shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date, as these directly inform implied probabilities around common temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major models indicate a typical late-summer maximum near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and light northerly to westerly winds with moderate humidity from Red Sea moisture. This aligns closely with the August climatological average high of roughly 36–38 °C and recent observational trends showing stable hot, mostly clear conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance shows low day-to-day variability, though minor shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date, as these directly inform implied probabilities around common temperature thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from major models indicate a typical late-summer maximum near 37–38 °C for Jeddah on August 25, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar heating, and light northerly to westerly winds with moderate humidity from Red Sea moisture. This aligns closely with the August climatological average high of roughly 36–38 °C and recent observational trends showing stable hot, mostly clear conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Ensemble guidance shows low day-to-day variability, though minor shifts in steering flow or afternoon convection could adjust the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution. Traders monitor updated runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date, as these directly inform implied probabilities around common temperature thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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