Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a coastal pattern with light rain, high humidity near 80%, and southerly flow that supports daytime highs in the 30–33°C range on August 24. Model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and BBC shows peaks near 30°C (86°F), while AccuWeather monthly guidance points to occasional 32–33°C readings amid typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages. Persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation limit extremes above 34°C, yet weak steering patterns and residual warmth from prior days keep 32°C and 33°C as the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 31.5% implied probability. Updated guidance from regional agencies on the final 24-hour period will determine exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
32°C 44%
33°C 32%
31°C 11%
34°C or higher 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
44%
33°C
32%
34°C or higher
6%
32°C 44%
33°C 32%
31°C 11%
34°C or higher 6%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
11%
32°C
44%
33°C
32%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate a coastal pattern with light rain, high humidity near 80%, and southerly flow that supports daytime highs in the 30–33°C range on August 24. Model consensus from sources such as timeanddate and BBC shows peaks near 30°C (86°F), while AccuWeather monthly guidance points to occasional 32–33°C readings amid typical August climatology of 29–31°C averages. Persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze moderation limit extremes above 34°C, yet weak steering patterns and residual warmth from prior days keep 32°C and 33°C as the market’s leading outcomes at 44% and 31.5% implied probability. Updated guidance from regional agencies on the final 24-hour period will determine exact resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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