Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 around 20–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with high pressure maintaining above-average late-summer conditions and limited radiative cooling. Dew points near 18–20°C and scattered high clouds are expected to moderate overnight temperature drops, while daytime heating reaches 28–30°C. Ensemble spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs highlight modest uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by subtle variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. This scientific uncertainty, combined with the market’s resolution on the official daily low, explains the closely matched probabilities across 17–24°C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical August baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Milan on August 26?
14°C or below 49%
24°C or higher 37.7%
19°C 30%
17°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
49%
15°C
16%
16°C
24%
17°C
28%
18°C
28%
19°C
30%
20°C
24%
21°C
23%
22°C
19%
23°C
4%
24°C or higher
38%
14°C or below 49%
24°C or higher 37.7%
19°C 30%
17°C 28%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$145 Vol.
49%
15°C
$145 Vol.
16%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
30%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$57 Vol.
23%
22°C
$20 Vol.
19%
23°C
$145 Vol.
4%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 around 20–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with high pressure maintaining above-average late-summer conditions and limited radiative cooling. Dew points near 18–20°C and scattered high clouds are expected to moderate overnight temperature drops, while daytime heating reaches 28–30°C. Ensemble spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs highlight modest uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by subtle variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. This scientific uncertainty, combined with the market’s resolution on the official daily low, explains the closely matched probabilities across 17–24°C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical August baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$512End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 around 20–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with high pressure maintaining above-average late-summer conditions and limited radiative cooling. Dew points near 18–20°C and scattered high clouds are expected to moderate overnight temperature drops, while daytime heating reaches 28–30°C. Ensemble spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs highlight modest uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by subtle variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. This scientific uncertainty, combined with the market’s resolution on the official daily low, explains the closely matched probabilities across 17–24°C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical August baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$512End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 26 around 20–23°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, with high pressure maintaining above-average late-summer conditions and limited radiative cooling. Dew points near 18–20°C and scattered high clouds are expected to moderate overnight temperature drops, while daytime heating reaches 28–30°C. Ensemble spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and regional runs highlight modest uncertainty in exact minimums, driven by subtle variations in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing. This scientific uncertainty, combined with the market’s resolution on the official daily low, explains the closely matched probabilities across 17–24°C outcomes, as traders weigh the latest model consensus against historical August baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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