Official forecasts for Mexico City on September 7, 2026, point to a daily minimum near 13–15°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. Model consensus from sources like CONAGUA and international ensembles shows temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius through the night, with only modest drops possible under variable steering winds. This setup creates tight market-implied odds between an 8°C-or-below outcome and 14°C, reflecting uncertainty over localized microclimates, precipitation timing, and potential model spread in the final hours before resolution. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature similar moderated lows under comparable moisture patterns, with traders weighing the latest observational updates from surface stations against any late forecast revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on September 7?
8°C or below 98%
14°C 46%
11°C 9%
10°C 5%
$428 Vol.
$428 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
8°C or below
98%
9°C
3%
10°C
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
46%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
8°C or below 98%
14°C 46%
11°C 9%
10°C 5%
$428 Vol.
$428 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
8°C or below
$5 Vol.
98%
9°C
$5 Vol.
3%
10°C
$38 Vol.
5%
11°C
$25 Vol.
9%
12°C
$20 Vol.
2%
13°C
$10 Vol.
3%
14°C
$27 Vol.
46%
15°C
$107 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$60 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Mexico City on September 7, 2026, point to a daily minimum near 13–15°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. Model consensus from sources like CONAGUA and international ensembles shows temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius through the night, with only modest drops possible under variable steering winds. This setup creates tight market-implied odds between an 8°C-or-below outcome and 14°C, reflecting uncertainty over localized microclimates, precipitation timing, and potential model spread in the final hours before resolution. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature similar moderated lows under comparable moisture patterns, with traders weighing the latest observational updates from surface stations against any late forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$428End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts for Mexico City on September 7, 2026, point to a daily minimum near 13–15°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. Model consensus from sources like CONAGUA and international ensembles shows temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius through the night, with only modest drops possible under variable steering winds. This setup creates tight market-implied odds between an 8°C-or-below outcome and 14°C, reflecting uncertainty over localized microclimates, precipitation timing, and potential model spread in the final hours before resolution. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature similar moderated lows under comparable moisture patterns, with traders weighing the latest observational updates from surface stations against any late forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$428End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts for Mexico City on September 7, 2026, point to a daily minimum near 13–15°C amid widespread cloud cover, light rain, and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling at the city's high elevation. Model consensus from sources like CONAGUA and international ensembles shows temperatures holding in the mid-teens Celsius through the night, with only modest drops possible under variable steering winds. This setup creates tight market-implied odds between an 8°C-or-below outcome and 14°C, reflecting uncertainty over localized microclimates, precipitation timing, and potential model spread in the final hours before resolution. Historical September baselines for the region typically feature similar moderated lows under comparable moisture patterns, with traders weighing the latest observational updates from surface stations against any late forecast revisions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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