Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show Madrid's minimum temperature on August 25 likely settling near 17–18°C amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth, though ensemble spreads allow for either a warmer night above 20°C or a cooler one dipping to 15°C or lower. High-pressure dominance and light winds limit nocturnal cooling or heat retention, while soil moisture from earlier dry conditions and the city's urban heat island effect add variability to boundary-layer temperatures. With the event just 48 hours away, incoming satellite and radiosonde data will tighten guidance on whether Atlantic flow or residual subtropical air prevails, directly influencing trader consensus around these tightly matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
25°C or higher 83%
15°C or below 43%
23°C 41%
24°C 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
43%
16°C
29%
17°C
31%
18°C
28%
19°C
24%
20°C
21%
21°C
22%
22°C
5%
23°C
41%
24°C
41%
25°C or higher
83%
25°C or higher 83%
15°C or below 43%
23°C 41%
24°C 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
43%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
24%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$4 Vol.
22%
22°C
$4 Vol.
5%
23°C
$5 Vol.
41%
24°C
$5 Vol.
41%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show Madrid's minimum temperature on August 25 likely settling near 17–18°C amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth, though ensemble spreads allow for either a warmer night above 20°C or a cooler one dipping to 15°C or lower. High-pressure dominance and light winds limit nocturnal cooling or heat retention, while soil moisture from earlier dry conditions and the city's urban heat island effect add variability to boundary-layer temperatures. With the event just 48 hours away, incoming satellite and radiosonde data will tighten guidance on whether Atlantic flow or residual subtropical air prevails, directly influencing trader consensus around these tightly matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$23End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show Madrid's minimum temperature on August 25 likely settling near 17–18°C amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth, though ensemble spreads allow for either a warmer night above 20°C or a cooler one dipping to 15°C or lower. High-pressure dominance and light winds limit nocturnal cooling or heat retention, while soil moisture from earlier dry conditions and the city's urban heat island effect add variability to boundary-layer temperatures. With the event just 48 hours away, incoming satellite and radiosonde data will tighten guidance on whether Atlantic flow or residual subtropical air prevails, directly influencing trader consensus around these tightly matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show Madrid's minimum temperature on August 25 likely settling near 17–18°C amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth, though ensemble spreads allow for either a warmer night above 20°C or a cooler one dipping to 15°C or lower. High-pressure dominance and light winds limit nocturnal cooling or heat retention, while soil moisture from earlier dry conditions and the city's urban heat island effect add variability to boundary-layer temperatures. With the event just 48 hours away, incoming satellite and radiosonde data will tighten guidance on whether Atlantic flow or residual subtropical air prevails, directly influencing trader consensus around these tightly matched outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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