Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows for Los Angeles on September 8 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow, elevated marine layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's strongest consensus around 72-73°F. Recent climatological data show early September lows averaging near 64°F, but a warm air mass and weak pressure gradients have elevated minimum temperatures by 8-10°F above normal in the preceding days. Forecasters note minimal model spread on steering winds and no incoming trough to enhance cooling, keeping the probability of readings below 70°F low while leaving modest room for slight upward revisions if afternoon heat lingers longer into the evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 8?
72-73°F 74%
80°F or higher 38%
61°F or below 37%
68-69°F 35%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
61°F or below
37%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
67%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
35%
80°F or higher
38%
72-73°F 74%
80°F or higher 38%
61°F or below 37%
68-69°F 35%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
61°F or below
$0 Vol.
37%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
7%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
7%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
35%
70-71°F
$12 Vol.
21%
72-73°F
$119 Vol.
67%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
17%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
35%
80°F or higher
$0 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows for Los Angeles on September 8 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow, elevated marine layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's strongest consensus around 72-73°F. Recent climatological data show early September lows averaging near 64°F, but a warm air mass and weak pressure gradients have elevated minimum temperatures by 8-10°F above normal in the preceding days. Forecasters note minimal model spread on steering winds and no incoming trough to enhance cooling, keeping the probability of readings below 70°F low while leaving modest room for slight upward revisions if afternoon heat lingers longer into the evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$132End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows for Los Angeles on September 8 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow, elevated marine layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's strongest consensus around 72-73°F. Recent climatological data show early September lows averaging near 64°F, but a warm air mass and weak pressure gradients have elevated minimum temperatures by 8-10°F above normal in the preceding days. Forecasters note minimal model spread on steering winds and no incoming trough to enhance cooling, keeping the probability of readings below 70°F low while leaving modest room for slight upward revisions if afternoon heat lingers longer into the evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$132End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate overnight lows for Los Angeles on September 8 will likely settle in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow, elevated marine layer moisture, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with the market's strongest consensus around 72-73°F. Recent climatological data show early September lows averaging near 64°F, but a warm air mass and weak pressure gradients have elevated minimum temperatures by 8-10°F above normal in the preceding days. Forecasters note minimal model spread on steering winds and no incoming trough to enhance cooling, keeping the probability of readings below 70°F low while leaving modest room for slight upward revisions if afternoon heat lingers longer into the evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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