**Trader consensus strongly favors a 72-73°F low for Los Angeles on September 7 because official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance project an overnight minimum in the low 70s.** Recent moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Marie has elevated humidity and dew points near 69-70°F, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light west-southwest winds. This marine-influenced pattern, combined with the onset of a heat wave pushing daytime highs into the upper 80s to mid-90s, keeps the diurnal temperature range compressed. Historical September lows average around 64°F, but current conditions deviate notably higher. A realistic shift toward the 70-71°F bin would require clearer skies and stronger winds than currently modeled, while sub-70°F readings appear unlikely absent a sharp change in steering flow or unexpected dry-air intrusion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 7?
72-73°F 94%
70-71°F 17%
68-69°F 9%
66-67°F 5%
$1,188 Vol.
$1,188 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
9%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
94%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 94%
70-71°F 17%
68-69°F 9%
66-67°F 5%
$1,188 Vol.
$1,188 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
59°F or below
$170 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$40 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$40 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$25 Vol.
5%
68-69°F
$108 Vol.
9%
70-71°F
$41 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$426 Vol.
94%
74-75°F
$188 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$80 Vol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$65 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 72-73°F low for Los Angeles on September 7 because official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance project an overnight minimum in the low 70s.** Recent moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Marie has elevated humidity and dew points near 69-70°F, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light west-southwest winds. This marine-influenced pattern, combined with the onset of a heat wave pushing daytime highs into the upper 80s to mid-90s, keeps the diurnal temperature range compressed. Historical September lows average around 64°F, but current conditions deviate notably higher. A realistic shift toward the 70-71°F bin would require clearer skies and stronger winds than currently modeled, while sub-70°F readings appear unlikely absent a sharp change in steering flow or unexpected dry-air intrusion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,188End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 72-73°F low for Los Angeles on September 7 because official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance project an overnight minimum in the low 70s.** Recent moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Marie has elevated humidity and dew points near 69-70°F, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light west-southwest winds. This marine-influenced pattern, combined with the onset of a heat wave pushing daytime highs into the upper 80s to mid-90s, keeps the diurnal temperature range compressed. Historical September lows average around 64°F, but current conditions deviate notably higher. A realistic shift toward the 70-71°F bin would require clearer skies and stronger winds than currently modeled, while sub-70°F readings appear unlikely absent a sharp change in steering flow or unexpected dry-air intrusion.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,188End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 72-73°F low for Los Angeles on September 7 because official National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance project an overnight minimum in the low 70s.** Recent moisture from the remnants of Hurricane Marie has elevated humidity and dew points near 69-70°F, limiting radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies with light west-southwest winds. This marine-influenced pattern, combined with the onset of a heat wave pushing daytime highs into the upper 80s to mid-90s, keeps the diurnal temperature range compressed. Historical September lows average around 64°F, but current conditions deviate notably higher. A realistic shift toward the 70-71°F bin would require clearer skies and stronger winds than currently modeled, while sub-70°F readings appear unlikely absent a sharp change in steering flow or unexpected dry-air intrusion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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