Trader consensus places the highest implied probabilities on a lowest temperature of 14°C (38%), 13°C (30%), or 12°C (26.5%) for Helsinki on September 8, reflecting mild overnight conditions. Persistent southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered rain, has limited nocturnal radiative cooling and maintained dew points near 14°C. These factors support minima several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 10.5°C. Minor forecast variations in wind speed, cloud breaks, or the timing of any frontal passage create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes, while official guidance from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows limited divergence in the latest model runs. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution prospects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 8?
14°C 62%
13°C 22%
12°C 16%
11°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
6%
12°C
16%
13°C
22%
14°C
62%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 62%
13°C 22%
12°C 16%
11°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
9°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$8 Vol.
6%
12°C
$0 Vol.
16%
13°C
$331 Vol.
22%
14°C
$419 Vol.
62%
15°C
$747 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$890 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$35 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places the highest implied probabilities on a lowest temperature of 14°C (38%), 13°C (30%), or 12°C (26.5%) for Helsinki on September 8, reflecting mild overnight conditions. Persistent southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered rain, has limited nocturnal radiative cooling and maintained dew points near 14°C. These factors support minima several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 10.5°C. Minor forecast variations in wind speed, cloud breaks, or the timing of any frontal passage create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes, while official guidance from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows limited divergence in the latest model runs. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution prospects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,627End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus places the highest implied probabilities on a lowest temperature of 14°C (38%), 13°C (30%), or 12°C (26.5%) for Helsinki on September 8, reflecting mild overnight conditions. Persistent southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered rain, has limited nocturnal radiative cooling and maintained dew points near 14°C. These factors support minima several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 10.5°C. Minor forecast variations in wind speed, cloud breaks, or the timing of any frontal passage create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes, while official guidance from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows limited divergence in the latest model runs. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution prospects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,627End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus places the highest implied probabilities on a lowest temperature of 14°C (38%), 13°C (30%), or 12°C (26.5%) for Helsinki on September 8, reflecting mild overnight conditions. Persistent southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, combined with extensive cloud cover and scattered rain, has limited nocturnal radiative cooling and maintained dew points near 14°C. These factors support minima several degrees above the 1991–2020 average low of 10.5°C. Minor forecast variations in wind speed, cloud breaks, or the timing of any frontal passage create the narrow spread among the leading outcomes, while official guidance from agencies such as the Finnish Meteorological Institute shows limited divergence in the latest model runs. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution prospects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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