Official forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on September 8 most likely between 7°C and 10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that favor moderate radiational cooling. Recent passage of a cold air mass produced a 2.4°C low on September 6, keeping trader attention on the lower tail of possible outcomes and supporting the leading 58.5% implied probability on 3°C or below. Historical September averages near 9°C and the absence of strong southerly advection reduce the chance of extreme cold, while model consensus on gradual warming limits upside risk above 10°C. Evening forecast updates will provide the next key data point before overnight lows are realized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
13°C or higher 46%
4°C 29%
6°C 26%
3°C or below 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
3°C or below
16%
4°C
29%
5°C
16%
6°C
26%
7°C
9%
8°C
9%
9°C
14%
10°C
14%
11°C
6%
12°C
5%
13°C or higher
46%
13°C or higher 46%
4°C 29%
6°C 26%
3°C or below 16%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
3°C or below
$0 Vol.
16%
4°C
$0 Vol.
29%
5°C
$5 Vol.
16%
6°C
$0 Vol.
26%
7°C
$0 Vol.
9%
8°C
$367 Vol.
9%
9°C
$0 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
14%
11°C
$0 Vol.
6%
12°C
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on September 8 most likely between 7°C and 10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that favor moderate radiational cooling. Recent passage of a cold air mass produced a 2.4°C low on September 6, keeping trader attention on the lower tail of possible outcomes and supporting the leading 58.5% implied probability on 3°C or below. Historical September averages near 9°C and the absence of strong southerly advection reduce the chance of extreme cold, while model consensus on gradual warming limits upside risk above 10°C. Evening forecast updates will provide the next key data point before overnight lows are realized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$372End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on September 8 most likely between 7°C and 10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that favor moderate radiational cooling. Recent passage of a cold air mass produced a 2.4°C low on September 6, keeping trader attention on the lower tail of possible outcomes and supporting the leading 58.5% implied probability on 3°C or below. Historical September averages near 9°C and the absence of strong southerly advection reduce the chance of extreme cold, while model consensus on gradual warming limits upside risk above 10°C. Evening forecast updates will provide the next key data point before overnight lows are realized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$372End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Argentina’s National Meteorological Service and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Buenos Aires on September 8 most likely between 7°C and 10°C under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds that favor moderate radiational cooling. Recent passage of a cold air mass produced a 2.4°C low on September 6, keeping trader attention on the lower tail of possible outcomes and supporting the leading 58.5% implied probability on 3°C or below. Historical September averages near 9°C and the absence of strong southerly advection reduce the chance of extreme cold, while model consensus on gradual warming limits upside risk above 10°C. Evening forecast updates will provide the next key data point before overnight lows are realized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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