A polar cold air mass currently influencing central Argentina has driven trader consensus toward a lowest temperature of 1°C or below in Buenos Aires today, with market-implied odds reflecting near-certainty based on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and regional model runs. Clear skies overnight, light northeast winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure support rapid temperature drops after sunset, consistent with recent cold-wave conditions that produced minima near 3–5°C in suburban areas. Official forecasts project city lows around 5–7°C, yet the strong positioning accounts for potential localized colder pockets or measurement variability at official stations. Updated model outputs or unexpected cloud cover before dawn could realistically push the observed minimum above 1°C, shifting resolution if temperatures stabilize higher than anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 7?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 7?
1°C or below 99.6%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$1,972 Vol.
$1,972 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
1°C or below
100%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C or higher
<1%
1°C or below 99.6%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
$1,972 Vol.
$1,972 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
1°C or below
$280 Vol.
100%
2°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$203 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$273 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$51 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$78 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$73 Vol.
<1%
11°C or higher
$73 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A polar cold air mass currently influencing central Argentina has driven trader consensus toward a lowest temperature of 1°C or below in Buenos Aires today, with market-implied odds reflecting near-certainty based on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and regional model runs. Clear skies overnight, light northeast winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure support rapid temperature drops after sunset, consistent with recent cold-wave conditions that produced minima near 3–5°C in suburban areas. Official forecasts project city lows around 5–7°C, yet the strong positioning accounts for potential localized colder pockets or measurement variability at official stations. Updated model outputs or unexpected cloud cover before dawn could realistically push the observed minimum above 1°C, shifting resolution if temperatures stabilize higher than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,972End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A polar cold air mass currently influencing central Argentina has driven trader consensus toward a lowest temperature of 1°C or below in Buenos Aires today, with market-implied odds reflecting near-certainty based on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and regional model runs. Clear skies overnight, light northeast winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure support rapid temperature drops after sunset, consistent with recent cold-wave conditions that produced minima near 3–5°C in suburban areas. Official forecasts project city lows around 5–7°C, yet the strong positioning accounts for potential localized colder pockets or measurement variability at official stations. Updated model outputs or unexpected cloud cover before dawn could realistically push the observed minimum above 1°C, shifting resolution if temperatures stabilize higher than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,972End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...A polar cold air mass currently influencing central Argentina has driven trader consensus toward a lowest temperature of 1°C or below in Buenos Aires today, with market-implied odds reflecting near-certainty based on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and regional model runs. Clear skies overnight, light northeast winds, and radiative cooling under high pressure support rapid temperature drops after sunset, consistent with recent cold-wave conditions that produced minima near 3–5°C in suburban areas. Official forecasts project city lows around 5–7°C, yet the strong positioning accounts for potential localized colder pockets or measurement variability at official stations. Updated model outputs or unexpected cloud cover before dawn could realistically push the observed minimum above 1°C, shifting resolution if temperatures stabilize higher than anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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