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icon for Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

<5 90%

5-9 7%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

<5 90%

5-9 7%

10-14 <1%

15-19 <1%

Polymarket
NEW

<5

$812 Vol.

90%

5-9

$152 Vol.

7%

10-14

$150 Vol.

1%

15-19

$150 Vol.

1%

20-24

$99 Vol.

1%

25-29

$99 Vol.

1%

30-34

$99 Vol.

1%

35-39

$99 Vol.

1%

40-44

$98 Vol.

1%

45-49

$127 Vol.

1%

50-54

$98 Vol.

1%

55-59

$118 Vol.

1%

60+

$98 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's current Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, maintains a low public profile amid ongoing regional tensions and unverified health speculation following U.S.-Israeli strikes earlier in 2026. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have recently reaffirmed his authority and well-being as of mid-September, yet he has avoided visible appearances or direct communications since the conflict period. Official X accounts tied to the leadership, including archival and commemorative channels for the late Ali Khamenei, typically issue infrequent statements focused on religious, cultural, or policy themes rather than daily updates. This pattern of limited social media engagement, combined with the emphasis on internal consolidation and diplomatic caution, aligns with trader consensus favoring minimal activity in the specified window, reflecting the opaque nature of Iranian leadership communications during periods of uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,198
End Date
Sep 22, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Iran's current Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, maintains a low public profile amid ongoing regional tensions and unverified health speculation following U.S.-Israeli strikes earlier in 2026. Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have recently reaffirmed his authority and well-being as of mid-September, yet he has avoided visible appearances or direct communications since the conflict period. Official X accounts tied to the leadership, including archival and commemorative channels for the late Ali Khamenei, typically issue infrequent statements focused on religious, cultural, or policy themes rather than daily updates. This pattern of limited social media engagement, combined with the emphasis on internal consolidation and diplomatic caution, aligns with trader consensus favoring minimal activity in the specified window, reflecting the opaque nature of Iranian leadership communications during periods of uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,198
End Date
Sep 22, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 90%, followed by "5-9" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?" is "<5" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.