**Traders see a near-even split between sub-40 and 40-64 tweets for the September 12-14 window because Elon Musk’s recent three-day stretches have clustered in that low-to-moderate range, with the prior period (ending September 12) settling at 40-64 and several earlier windows landing below 40.** Weekend cadence tends to slow absent major catalysts, and current activity shows mostly brief replies, quotes, and AI/Tesla commentary rather than high-volume threads or breaking news. Historical patterns confirm wide swings—recent eight-day totals have ranged from under 40 to over 200—yet the three-day bracket markets repeatedly resolve in the lower brackets when no product launch, policy announcement, or platform controversy spikes engagement. The slim 9.5% on 65-89 and negligible odds above that reflect the market’s read that sustained high output is unlikely before the period closes, while the tight <40 versus 40-64 contest hinges on whether posting velocity picks up over the final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 49%
<40 44%
65-89 9%
90-114 1.3%
$101,422 Vol.
$101,422 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
<40
44%
40-64
49%
65-89
9%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 49%
<40 44%
65-89 9%
90-114 1.3%
$101,422 Vol.
$101,422 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
<40
$25,791 Vol.
44%
40-64
$14,011 Vol.
49%
65-89
$17,312 Vol.
9%
90-114
$21,216 Vol.
1%
115-139
$11,458 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$3,761 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$2,318 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,650 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
240+
$845 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders see a near-even split between sub-40 and 40-64 tweets for the September 12-14 window because Elon Musk’s recent three-day stretches have clustered in that low-to-moderate range, with the prior period (ending September 12) settling at 40-64 and several earlier windows landing below 40.**
Weekend cadence tends to slow absent major catalysts, and current activity shows mostly brief replies, quotes, and AI/Tesla commentary rather than high-volume threads or breaking news. Historical patterns confirm wide swings—recent eight-day totals have ranged from under 40 to over 200—yet the three-day bracket markets repeatedly resolve in the lower brackets when no product launch, policy announcement, or platform controversy spikes engagement.
The slim 9.5% on 65-89 and negligible odds above that reflect the market’s read that sustained high output is unlikely before the period closes, while the tight <40 versus 40-64 contest hinges on whether posting velocity picks up over the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$101,422End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Traders see a near-even split between sub-40 and 40-64 tweets for the September 12-14 window because Elon Musk’s recent three-day stretches have clustered in that low-to-moderate range, with the prior period (ending September 12) settling at 40-64 and several earlier windows landing below 40.**
Weekend cadence tends to slow absent major catalysts, and current activity shows mostly brief replies, quotes, and AI/Tesla commentary rather than high-volume threads or breaking news. Historical patterns confirm wide swings—recent eight-day totals have ranged from under 40 to over 200—yet the three-day bracket markets repeatedly resolve in the lower brackets when no product launch, policy announcement, or platform controversy spikes engagement.
The slim 9.5% on 65-89 and negligible odds above that reflect the market’s read that sustained high output is unlikely before the period closes, while the tight <40 versus 40-64 contest hinges on whether posting velocity picks up over the final hours.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 12 12:00 PM ET to September 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$101,422End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders see a near-even split between sub-40 and 40-64 tweets for the September 12-14 window because Elon Musk’s recent three-day stretches have clustered in that low-to-moderate range, with the prior period (ending September 12) settling at 40-64 and several earlier windows landing below 40.** Weekend cadence tends to slow absent major catalysts, and current activity shows mostly brief replies, quotes, and AI/Tesla commentary rather than high-volume threads or breaking news. Historical patterns confirm wide swings—recent eight-day totals have ranged from under 40 to over 200—yet the three-day bracket markets repeatedly resolve in the lower brackets when no product launch, policy announcement, or platform controversy spikes engagement. The slim 9.5% on 65-89 and negligible odds above that reflect the market’s read that sustained high output is unlikely before the period closes, while the tight <40 versus 40-64 contest hinges on whether posting velocity picks up over the final hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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