**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 11–18 centers on the 160–259 range, with the 180–199 bracket leading at 18.5% implied probability amid a broad distribution across brackets.** This spread reflects the high week-to-week volatility in his posting volume, which has recently swung from sub-100 totals in quieter stretches to 200-plus during active periods driven by platform metrics, business updates, or public commentary. Historical data shows averages near 138 posts in the trailing 12 weeks, with spikes tied to X’s usage records or external news cycles. Absent major catalysts in the immediate forecast, moderate activity remains the base case, though any high-profile development could quickly push counts higher or trigger another lull.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
180-199 19%
200-219 17%
160-179 15%
220-239 14%
NEW
$37,098 Vol.
NEW
$37,098 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
8%
160-179
15%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
14%
240-259
10%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
3%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
200-219 17%
160-179 15%
220-239 14%
NEW
$37,098 Vol.
NEW
$37,098 Vol.
Sep 18, 2026
<20
$719 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$167 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$202 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$5,604 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$6,249 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$618 Vol.
1%
120-139
$551 Vol.
3%
140-159
$437 Vol.
8%
160-179
$305 Vol.
15%
180-199
$397 Vol.
19%
200-219
$350 Vol.
17%
220-239
$444 Vol.
14%
240-259
$1,545 Vol.
10%
260-279
$1,395 Vol.
7%
280-299
$2,995 Vol.
4%
300-319
$2,400 Vol.
3%
320-339
$4,293 Vol.
2%
340-359
$2,341 Vol.
1%
360-379
$448 Vol.
1%
380-399
$198 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$252 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$452 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$645 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$739 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$242 Vol.
<1%
500+
$3,110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 11–18 centers on the 160–259 range, with the 180–199 bracket leading at 18.5% implied probability amid a broad distribution across brackets.** This spread reflects the high week-to-week volatility in his posting volume, which has recently swung from sub-100 totals in quieter stretches to 200-plus during active periods driven by platform metrics, business updates, or public commentary. Historical data shows averages near 138 posts in the trailing 12 weeks, with spikes tied to X’s usage records or external news cycles. Absent major catalysts in the immediate forecast, moderate activity remains the base case, though any high-profile development could quickly push counts higher or trigger another lull.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$37,098End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 11–18 centers on the 160–259 range, with the 180–199 bracket leading at 18.5% implied probability amid a broad distribution across brackets.** This spread reflects the high week-to-week volatility in his posting volume, which has recently swung from sub-100 totals in quieter stretches to 200-plus during active periods driven by platform metrics, business updates, or public commentary. Historical data shows averages near 138 posts in the trailing 12 weeks, with spikes tied to X’s usage records or external news cycles. Absent major catalysts in the immediate forecast, moderate activity remains the base case, though any high-profile development could quickly push counts higher or trigger another lull.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$37,098End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Elon Musk’s X activity for September 11–18 centers on the 160–259 range, with the 180–199 bracket leading at 18.5% implied probability amid a broad distribution across brackets.** This spread reflects the high week-to-week volatility in his posting volume, which has recently swung from sub-100 totals in quieter stretches to 200-plus during active periods driven by platform metrics, business updates, or public commentary. Historical data shows averages near 138 posts in the trailing 12 weeks, with spikes tied to X’s usage records or external news cycles. Absent major catalysts in the immediate forecast, moderate activity remains the base case, though any high-profile development could quickly push counts higher or trigger another lull.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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