Recent three-day windows have repeatedly settled in the 40-64 range, including the periods ending September 12 and September 9, reflecting Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 13–21 posts daily amid a broader 2026 cooldown from prior peaks. This pattern, driven by steady but not hyperactive commentary on AI developments, platform matters, and company updates rather than sustained controversy or product launches, positions the bracket as the market’s clearest consensus. Weekend timing for September 14–16 further tempers expectations of spikes, though any sudden Tesla, SpaceX, or political news could shift volume upward into the 65–89 tier that currently trails at 23%. Traders weigh these recent verified brackets heavily when pricing the short window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 50%
65-89 24%
<40 21%
90-114 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
<40
21%
40-64
50%
65-89
24%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
1%
240+
1%
40-64 50%
65-89 24%
<40 21%
90-114 5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 16, 2026
<40
$76 Vol.
21%
40-64
$87 Vol.
50%
65-89
$52 Vol.
24%
90-114
$70 Vol.
5%
115-139
$300 Vol.
1%
140-164
$432 Vol.
1%
165-189
$432 Vol.
1%
190-214
$12 Vol.
1%
215-239
$20 Vol.
1%
240+
$120 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent three-day windows have repeatedly settled in the 40-64 range, including the periods ending September 12 and September 9, reflecting Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 13–21 posts daily amid a broader 2026 cooldown from prior peaks. This pattern, driven by steady but not hyperactive commentary on AI developments, platform matters, and company updates rather than sustained controversy or product launches, positions the bracket as the market’s clearest consensus. Weekend timing for September 14–16 further tempers expectations of spikes, though any sudden Tesla, SpaceX, or political news could shift volume upward into the 65–89 tier that currently trails at 23%. Traders weigh these recent verified brackets heavily when pricing the short window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,602End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent three-day windows have repeatedly settled in the 40-64 range, including the periods ending September 12 and September 9, reflecting Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 13–21 posts daily amid a broader 2026 cooldown from prior peaks. This pattern, driven by steady but not hyperactive commentary on AI developments, platform matters, and company updates rather than sustained controversy or product launches, positions the bracket as the market’s clearest consensus. Weekend timing for September 14–16 further tempers expectations of spikes, though any sudden Tesla, SpaceX, or political news could shift volume upward into the 65–89 tier that currently trails at 23%. Traders weigh these recent verified brackets heavily when pricing the short window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 14 12:00 PM ET to September 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,602End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent three-day windows have repeatedly settled in the 40-64 range, including the periods ending September 12 and September 9, reflecting Musk’s current posting cadence of roughly 13–21 posts daily amid a broader 2026 cooldown from prior peaks. This pattern, driven by steady but not hyperactive commentary on AI developments, platform matters, and company updates rather than sustained controversy or product launches, positions the bracket as the market’s clearest consensus. Weekend timing for September 14–16 further tempers expectations of spikes, though any sudden Tesla, SpaceX, or political news could shift volume upward into the 65–89 tier that currently trails at 23%. Traders weigh these recent verified brackets heavily when pricing the short window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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