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icon for NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

20-39 79%

40-59 16%

80-99 7.2%

120-139 7.2%

Polymarket
NEW

20-39 79%

40-59 16%

80-99 7.2%

120-139 7.2%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$77 Vol.

1%

20-39

$497 Vol.

79%

40-59

$128 Vol.

16%

60-79

$40 Vol.

4%

80-99

$0 Vol.

7%

100-119

$132 Vol.

4%

120-139

$0 Vol.

7%

140-159

$20 Vol.

1%

160-179

$20 Vol.

1%

180-199

$20 Vol.

1%

200+

$20 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office in January 2026 as NYC’s first Muslim mayor, uses the official @NYCMayor X account for routine municipal updates, policy announcements, constituent outreach, and responses to city events.** Trader consensus places the highest probability (79%) on 20–39 posts for the September 15–22 window, reflecting expectations of standard weekly volume once the immediate 25th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks has passed. The prior week’s elevated activity centered on remembrance ceremonies, security briefings, executive orders designating a Day of Remembrance and Service, and related statements, which traders viewed as temporary drivers pushing counts higher. With those events concluded, recent developments point to more typical output tied to ongoing priorities such as school openings, housing initiatives, street safety measures, and holiday greetings. Secondary brackets (40–59 at 16.5% and others below 10%) account for possible follow-on coverage of city business or minor late developments, but the market pricing indicates limited expectation of sustained high-volume posting in this non-anniversary period. Resolution depends on counting main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts on the official account during the defined timeframe.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$954
End Date
Sep 22, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office in January 2026 as NYC’s first Muslim mayor, uses the official @NYCMayor X account for routine municipal updates, policy announcements, constituent outreach, and responses to city events.** Trader consensus places the highest probability (79%) on 20–39 posts for the September 15–22 window, reflecting expectations of standard weekly volume once the immediate 25th anniversary of the 9/11 attacks has passed. The prior week’s elevated activity centered on remembrance ceremonies, security briefings, executive orders designating a Day of Remembrance and Service, and related statements, which traders viewed as temporary drivers pushing counts higher. With those events concluded, recent developments point to more typical output tied to ongoing priorities such as school openings, housing initiatives, street safety measures, and holiday greetings. Secondary brackets (40–59 at 16.5% and others below 10%) account for possible follow-on coverage of city business or minor late developments, but the market pricing indicates limited expectation of sustained high-volume posting in this non-anniversary period. Resolution depends on counting main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts on the official account during the defined timeframe.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$954
End Date
Sep 22, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/NYCMayor

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20-39" at 79%, followed by "40-59" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?" is "20-39" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "40-59" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.