Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, reflecting sustained voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions and cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys highlight disapproval of tariff policies, including recent levies on Canadian goods, alongside broader pessimism about the economy’s direction. Aggregators such as those from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin show readings clustered between 35% and 39.6%, with modest stabilization in the latest updates. Traders appear to price in continuity of these trends over the next several days, producing tight probabilities around the 37.5–38.9 range while assigning lower odds to sharper moves absent major new catalysts before the September 18 measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
37.0–37.4 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
5%
37.0–37.4
7%
37.5–37.9
27%
38.0–38.4
37%
38.5–38.9
26%
39.0+
5%
38.0–38.4 37%
37.5–37.9 27%
38.5–38.9 26%
37.0–37.4 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<37.0
$63 Vol.
5%
37.0–37.4
$94 Vol.
7%
37.5–37.9
$24 Vol.
27%
38.0–38.4
$144 Vol.
37%
38.5–38.9
$136 Vol.
26%
39.0+
$129 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, reflecting sustained voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions and cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys highlight disapproval of tariff policies, including recent levies on Canadian goods, alongside broader pessimism about the economy’s direction. Aggregators such as those from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin show readings clustered between 35% and 39.6%, with modest stabilization in the latest updates. Traders appear to price in continuity of these trends over the next several days, producing tight probabilities around the 37.5–38.9 range while assigning lower odds to sharper moves absent major new catalysts before the September 18 measurement.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$588End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, reflecting sustained voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions and cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys highlight disapproval of tariff policies, including recent levies on Canadian goods, alongside broader pessimism about the economy’s direction. Aggregators such as those from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin show readings clustered between 35% and 39.6%, with modest stabilization in the latest updates. Traders appear to price in continuity of these trends over the next several days, producing tight probabilities around the 37.5–38.9 range while assigning lower odds to sharper moves absent major new catalysts before the September 18 measurement.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 18, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$588End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Donald Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, reflecting sustained voter dissatisfaction with economic conditions and cost-of-living pressures. Multiple surveys highlight disapproval of tariff policies, including recent levies on Canadian goods, alongside broader pessimism about the economy’s direction. Aggregators such as those from RealClearPolitics, the New York Times, and Silver Bulletin show readings clustered between 35% and 39.6%, with modest stabilization in the latest updates. Traders appear to price in continuity of these trends over the next several days, producing tight probabilities around the 37.5–38.9 range while assigning lower odds to sharper moves absent major new catalysts before the September 18 measurement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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